BMIE Market 11557

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,504 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,641 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,823 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,961 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$176,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,434 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$776,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64,445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11557
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	43.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 21–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11557. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.6	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.8	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	46.2	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,504	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	176,274	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	2,641	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	35%	+6.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	35.3	16	25%	+4.0
Population (ACS)	8,504	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	176,274	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.1	64	50%	+32.0
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	15.4	43	20%	+8.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 6 · Italian 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Halal / kosher 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sushi 2 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Catering 2 · Coffee shop 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1762 Broadway Lounge	Bar		1762 Broadway	open
Across Broadway Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1196 Broadway	open
Ay! Caramba!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1344 Broadway	open
Bagel Boss Bagel Boss	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1352 Peninsula Blvd	open
Bagelo	Bakery	Bakery	26 Franklin Ave	open
BBBcafehewlett	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1435 Broadway	open
Bravo Kosher Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1270 W Broadway	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	440 Mill Rd	open
Cafe Espanol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	1270 Peninsula Blvd	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1344 Peninsula Blvd	open
D & Y Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1266 Peninsula Blvd	open
Da Nicola	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1203 Broadway	open
Dolce Confections	Dessert	Dessert	1319 Broadway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	31 Franklin Ave	open
Esrog Headquarters Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		227 Nassau St	open
Graffiti Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1326 Peninsula Blvd	open
Hasini Shel Broadway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1191 Broadway	open
Hewlett Station Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1213 Station Plz	open
Imperial Feast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1230 Broadway	open
Istanbul Grill&Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1230 Broadway	open
Kalypsos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1483 Broadway	open
Laffa Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	1326 Peninsula Blvd	open
Little Fu's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	1739 Peninsula Blvd	open
Little Palmi Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1201 Broadway	open
Magic Bagels of Hewlett	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	1749 Peninsula Blvd	open
Marinara Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1308 Peninsula Blvd	open
Max's Appetizing & Kosher Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1483 Broadway	open
Mediterrean Grill Kebab	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Franklin Ave	open
MoCA Asian Bistro MoCA Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1300 Peninsula Blvd	open
More Than A Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	1303 Broadway	open
New Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1191 Broadway	open
Nicolino Gourmet Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1201 Broadway	open
Pantano's Gourmet	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	1308 Broadway	open
Pattaya Thai Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	1066 Broadway	open
Red Mango	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1326 Broadway	open
Remy's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10 Franklin Ave	open
Sean Patrick's	Bar		1762 Broadway	open
SoBol Hewlett SoBol Beverly	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1309 Broadway	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1765 Peninsula Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1336 Peninsula Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1239 Broadway	open
Tanami's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher	1305 Broadway	open
Telestat Grp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 Franklin Ave	open
The Pizza Kitchen	Other	Sandwiches	1310 Broadway	open
The Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1344 Broadway	open
Tony D's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1751 Peninsula Blvd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1326 Broadway	open
Walls Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Halal / kosher · Dessert	1336 Broadway	open
Woodro Kosher Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Halal / kosher · American	1441 Broadway	open
Xaga Sushi and Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1330 Broadway	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	24	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	24	23	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	26	25	7	7	11	1	NAICS1997
1999	23	22	8	5	9	1	NAICS1997
2000	27	26	7	10	9	1	NAICS1997
2001	27	26	7	10	9	1	NAICS1997
2002	25	23	7	8	8	2	NAICS1997
2003	30	26	9	9	8	2	NAICS2002
2004	32	29	11	11	7	1	NAICS2002
2005	30	27	12	9	6	1	NAICS2002
2006	32	28	13	8	7	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	27	13	8	6	—	NAICS2002
2008	28	26	13	6	7	1	NAICS2007
2009	29	27	14	7	6	1	NAICS2007
2010	36	34	17	10	7	1	NAICS2007
2011	32	30	13	11	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	37	34	13	13	8	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	33	12	13	8	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	29	12	9	8	1	NAICS2012
2015	30	28	12	8	8	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	31	13	10	8	1	NAICS2012
2017	30	27	11	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	28	12	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	27	14	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	23	13	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	28	14	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	31	15	9	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	30	13	11	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11557. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11598	1.0 mi	12	2023
11518	1.4 mi	25	2023
11581	1.5 mi	43	2023
11563	1.8 mi	75	2023
11516	1.9 mi	28	2023
11559	2.5 mi	41	2023
11580	2.7 mi	73	2023
11422	2.9 mi	37	2023
11565	2.9 mi	12	2023
11572	3.0 mi	72	2023
11558	3.2 mi	35	2023
11096	3.5 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.