BMIE Market 11558
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±461 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,259 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,370 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,099 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $111,032 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,571 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $635,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,342 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11558 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 33.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +12.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +34.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +84.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 38–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11558. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 75.7 | 76 | 40% | +30.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.4 | 60 | 35% | +21.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 72.6 | 73 | 25% | +18.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,454 | 68 | 40% | +27.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 111,032 | 87 | 40% | +34.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,259 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 34.6 | 75 | 35% | +26.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 41.4 | 13 | 25% | +3.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,454 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 111,032 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 12.9 | 71 | 50% | +35.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 34.6 | 75 | 30% | +22.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 10 · Italian 6 · Seafood 6 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Pizza 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · European 2 · Mexican 2 · Peruvian 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 8 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 6 · Bakery 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Taberna Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Steakhouse · Seafood | 4135 Austin Blvd | open |
| Agrigento Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 4032 Austin Blvd | open |
| Ananau Peruvian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 4547 Austin Blvd | open |
| Arties South Shore Fish Market and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4257 Austin Blvd | open |
| Aura Coastal Mediterranean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · European | 4338 Austin Blvd | open |
| Austin Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4385-4401 Austin Blvd | open |
| Austins Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4000 Austin Blvd | open | |
| Ay! Caramba! | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 166 Long Beach Rd | open |
| China Pavilion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4245 Austin Blvd | open |
| Davinci's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza · American | 118 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Demi's Place | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 4163 Austin Blvd | open |
| Dox | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 10 Broadway | open | |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4261 Austin Blvd | open |
| East Coast Roast Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 85 Saratoga Blvd | open |
| East Rock Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 100 Long Beach Rd | open |
| EGP Land & Sea | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 2 Pettit Pl | open |
| Essex House Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8 Railroad Pl | open |
| Eveready Enterprises Inc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4177 Austin Blvd | open | |
| Fresh Fizz Sodas | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 60 Saratoga Blvd | open | |
| Fruit Warehouse Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 33 Saratoga Blvd | open |
| Gary Steiner Restaurant Corp.-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4245 Austin Blvd | open | |
| General Coffee Hour | Coffee shop | Coffee | 64 Alabama Ave | open |
| Global Design & Construction Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 395 Long Beach Rd | open | |
| GNG Italian Sausage Hut | Food truck · Quick service | Italian | 3915 Austin Blvd | open |
| Gotcha Auto Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4282 Industrial Pl | open | |
| Gran Paradiso | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 4335 Austin Blvd | open |
| Gustavo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 132 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Holly trans limited Nigeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 47 Marina Rd | open | |
| Hope's Land of Candy | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3942 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Island Park Ale House | Bar | 146 Long Beach Rd | open | |
| Island Park Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 236 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Island Park Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 110 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Jack's Pizzeria Jack's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 165 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Jordan Lobster Farms | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1 Pettit Pl | open |
| Kitchen And Bathrooms By Designs Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4090 Austin Blvd Fl 1 | open | |
| L. Dante Ltd.-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Pettit Pl | open | |
| La combi Peruana🇵🇪 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4060 Austin Blvd | open |
| La Rioja | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 4409 Austin Blvd | open |
| La Surena | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 116 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Lilly's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| limena bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Peruvian · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4343 Austin Blvd | open |
| Linetek Services | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3950 Long Beach Rd | open | |
| Mc Cluskey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4310 Austin Blvd | open | |
| Mega Business Systems-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 154 Long Beach Rd | open | |
| Miami Nights | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4547 Austin Blvd | open |
| Montego Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2 Pettit Pl | open |
| Moo Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Hot dogs · American | 4455 Broadway | open |
| Naqs Halal Food- Island Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 4343 Austin Blvd Ste B | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 3939 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Paddy McGees | Bar | American · Seafood | 6 Waterview Rd | open |
| Pancho's Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4245 Austin Blvd | open |
| Panda House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4387 Austin Blvd | open |
| Panera Bread | Café | Coffee | 4575 Austin Blvd | open |
| Pete's Pitaria & Other Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 4259 Austin Blvd | open |
| Peter's Clam Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 600 Long Beach Rd | open |
| Piecraft Pizza Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4585 Austin Blvd | open | |
| Rallini | Bakery | Bakery · Italian | 4338 Austin Blvd Unit D | open |
| Ralph's Famous Italian Ices Ralph's Italian Ices- Lanoka Harbor, NJ | Dessert | Dessert | 114 Austin Blvd | open |
| Rios Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4549 Austin Blvd | open |
| Sabor Hondureño 2 | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 4060 Austin Blvd | open | |
| Salt Air Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 4343 Austin Blvd | open |
| Sand Storm Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Pettit Pl | open | |
| Sangria 71 Sangria 71-Williston Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · European | 4585 Austin Blvd | open |
| Shogun Hibachi Asian Cusine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 4556 Austin Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4507 Austin Blvd | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4385 Austin Blvd | open |
| Tazzetto Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4202 Austin Blvd | open |
| The Tiki Bar at 1034 | Bar | 1034 Knickerbocker Rd | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4579 Austin Blvd | open |
| Zebra Steak House Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 4310 Austin Blvd | open |
| Ace Auto & Equipment Leasing Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 48 Alabama Ave | closed | |
| Brands Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8 California Pl N | closed |
| Pop's Seafood Shack & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 15 Railroad Pl | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 19 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 18 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 17 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 30 | 26 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 25 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 27 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 37 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 35 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 38 | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |