BMIE Market 11559
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,878 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±575 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±434 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,176 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,821 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $142,830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,229,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±473,078 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11559 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 28.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +24.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +36.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +86.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +78.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 38–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11559. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.7 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.0 | 62 | 35% | +21.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 78.3 | 78 | 25% | +19.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,878 | 69 | 40% | +27.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,830 | 95 | 40% | +38.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,636 | 65 | 20% | +13.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 36.7 | 76 | 35% | +26.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 46.2 | 11 | 25% | +2.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,878 | 69 | 20% | +13.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,830 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 24.2 | 80 | 50% | +40.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 36.7 | 76 | 30% | +22.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 86.4 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (64)
By cuisine
American 12 · Halal / kosher 10 · Coffee 9 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 13 · Café 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Fast casual 2 · Bar 1 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 Life Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Breakfast · Coffee | 235 Mill St | open |
| 480 Pennrock Inc. Dba Ahuva's Grill Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 480 Rockaway Tpke | open | |
| Ahuvas Grill Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 480 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Bean and Berry | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 349 Central Ave | open |
| Berrylicious | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Halal / kosher | 295 Burnside Ave | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 343 Rockaway Tpke Unit 280 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 665 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Carisma Dominicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 199 Mott Ave | open |
| Carlos & Gabby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Halal / kosher · American | 143 Washington Ave | open |
| Chick-N-Fries | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 284 Burnside Ave | open |
| Chimichurri Charcoal Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Chicken / wings | 450 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 331 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Cho-Sen Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 367 Central Ave | open |
| Circle A 305 Foods Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 305 Rockaway Tpke | open | |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Burgers · BBQ | 305 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Dk New China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 205 Mott Ave | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 299 Burnside Ave | open |
| El Rinconcito De Melva | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 290 Lawrence Ave, Lawrence, NY 11559-1246, United States | open | |
| Giant Bagel | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 480 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 630 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Hibana Hibachi Steakhouse and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Sushi · Japanese | 340 Central Ave | open |
| Island Bagel Bar Inc | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 284 Burnside Ave | open |
| Jerusalem Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 344 Central Ave | open |
| Juicy Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 284 Burnside Ave | open |
| Lawrence Diner | Casual dining | American | 1 Burnside Ave | open |
| Lollibop Cafe and Play | Café | Coffee · Halal / kosher | 398 Central Ave | open |
| Lucky Boy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · American | 636 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Maki By Akimori | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 346 Central Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 365 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Mechy's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 330 Central Ave | open |
| Meisner's Gourmet Catering Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 341 Central Ave | open | |
| MG Craft Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Halal / kosher | 101 Causeway | open |
| Mjd Cohen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 305 Central Ave | open | |
| Moca Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 274 Burnside Ave | open |
| Muscat Glatt | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 278 Burnside Ave | open |
| New 5 Town Mazel-fortune Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 367 Central Ave | open | |
| Nyc Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 284 Burnside Ave | open |
| Oasis Catering Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 302 Central Ave | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 345 Rockaway Turnpike | open |
| Patis Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 295 Burnside Ave | open |
| Pd Portillo's | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 210 Lawrence Ave | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 331 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Pollo Campero Pollo Campero USA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Latin American (other) | 301 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 679 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Prime Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Halal / kosher · French | 305 Central Ave | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 296 Central Ave | open |
| Salad Ace | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 284 Burnside Ave | open |
| Salron Diner Associates, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 311 Rockaway Tpke | open | |
| Seasons Express Lawrence Seasons Queens | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining | Healthy / salads / bowls · American | 50 Doughty Blvd | open |
| Sherwood Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 311 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 345 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Sunflower Cafe- Lawrence Sunflower Cafe BC | Café | Halal / kosher · Vegetarian · Coffee | 357 Central Ave | open |
| Sushi Pie | Quick service | Japanese · Sushi · Halal / kosher | 295 Burnside Ave | open |
| Sushi Tokyo Sushi Tokyo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 337 Central Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 325 Rockaway Tpke | open |
| Taqueria Marquez Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 273 Burnside Ave | open |
| The Coffee Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining | Halal / kosher · Coffee · American | 345 Central Ave | open |
| Tierra Nueva Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 250 Lawrence Ave | open | |
| Traditions | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 302 Central Ave | open |
| Very Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 292 Central Ave | open |
| Waffelino - The Waffle Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 310 Central Ave | open | |
| Burnside Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 267 Burnside Ave | closed |
| Doughty Deli & Grocery Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 50 Doughty Blvd | closed |
| Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 288 Burnside Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 23 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 22 | 6 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 40 | 35 | 12 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 39 | 33 | 12 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 40 | 35 | 13 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 36 | 10 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 39 | 14 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 46 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |