BMIE Market 11598

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,599 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,753 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±306 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,328 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,322 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$190,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,186 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,794 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,039,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,675 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11598
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11598. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.5	84	40%	+33.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.6	73	35%	+25.4
Market Momentum Score	71.5	71	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,599	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	190,074	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	3,753	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.8	77	25%	+19.2
Population (ACS)	13,599	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	190,074	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 3 · Halal / kosher 2 · Italian 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Backstage Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	948 Broadway	open
Bagelo	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	1033 Broadway	open
Chateau Coffee Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1 Station Plz	open
Chateau Woodmere	Coffee shop	Coffee	141 Wyckoff Pl	open
Cookie Comfort	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Howard Ave	open
Cottage Coffee Shop	Casual dining	American	1047 Broadway	open
Crave! Woodmere	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	12 Irving Pl	open
FRIENDLIER of Woodmere	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1006 Railroad Ave	open
Gotta Getta Bagel	Bakery · Catering	Bakery · Halal / kosher	1039 Broadway	open
Green Tea Lovers	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	850 Napoleon St	open
Hunkis Pizza Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Halal / kosher	1033 Broadway	open
Micky Mo's Cafe & Lounge	Café	Coffee	6 Franklin Pl	open
Pizza Pious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1063 Broadway	open
Press	Bar	American	1066 Broadway	open
Prestige Caterers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Irving Pl	open
Roscoe's House of Chicken & Waffles Roscoe's Los Angeles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Breakfast · African	730 Broadway	open
Shabtai Gourmet Gluten Free Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	874 Lakeside Dr	open
The Chateau Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1 Station Plz	open
Xo Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1058 Broadway	open
Zohra K Salon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1010 Central Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	14	9	3	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	13	9	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	9	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	8	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	5	3	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	4	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	4	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	2	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	9	2	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	2	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	1	5	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	9	—	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	9	—	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	—	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	12	—	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	—	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	—	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	—	5	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11598. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11516	0.8 mi	28	2023
11557	1.0 mi	30	2023
11581	1.4 mi	43	2023
11559	1.9 mi	41	2023
11518	2.4 mi	25	2023
11096	2.4 mi	14	2023
11422	2.5 mi	37	2023
11563	2.7 mi	75	2023
11580	3.1 mi	73	2023
11509	3.1 mi	11	2023
11691	3.3 mi	42	2023
11413	3.5 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.