BMIE Market 11518
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,549 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,348 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $117,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,499 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $588,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,331 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11518 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +19.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +38.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 27 (range 23–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11518. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.3 | 78 | 40% | +31.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.7 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 54.2 | 54 | 25% | +13.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,149 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 117,052 | 89 | 40% | +35.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,991 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.1 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.6 | 27 | 25% | +6.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,149 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 117,052 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.1 | 62 | 30% | +18.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (58)
By cuisine
Pizza 7 · American 6 · Italian 6 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Dessert 3 · Seafood 3 · Thai 3 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Peruvian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 7 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Main St | open | |
| Acts Ii Cafe | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 124 Garfield Pl | open |
| Althouse Summer 2016 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 Althouse Ave | open | |
| Amazing Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 300 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Anthony's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8 Centre Ave | open |
| Asian Ginger Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Main St | open | |
| Atlantic Beer Garden, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Front St | open | |
| Bagel Cafe Maru | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 438 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Bagel Gourmet Inc. | Bakery | Bakery | 151 Main St | open |
| Bagels Away & To Stay | Bakery | Bakery | 438 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Batch Cookies 'n Cream | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 53 Main St | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 436 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Centre Thai Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 268 Atlantic Ave Unit B | open |
| Chill Soft Serve | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3 Main St | open |
| Commuters Club | Bar | 517 Ocean Ave | open | |
| Cooked To Perfection | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 49 Main St | open | |
| Drinkswithfrank | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 451 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Exhibit Thai Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 10 Davison Plz | open |
| Far Sing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 140 Main St | open |
| Francesca's Pizzeria and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 144 Main St | open |
| Giovanni's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 465 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Grandpa Tony's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 101 Althouse Ave | open |
| Greek Xpress Greek Xpress | Quick service | Greek · Mediterranean | 59 Main St | open |
| Habanero Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 465 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Haviland Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 43 Main St | open |
| IL Forno Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | Atlantic Avenue | open |
| Imi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 10 Davison Plz Unit 1 | open |
| Interiano's Pizzeria and Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 428 Atlantic Ave | open |
| James & Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1 Main St | open |
| La Flor De La Canela | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 272 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Latin Fusion Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 12 Centre Ave | open |
| Lazy Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 10 Front St | open |
| Los Panas Venezuelan Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 274 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Mis Kebab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 142 Main St | open |
| Mr. Beerys Village Pub Mr. Beerys | Bar | 33 Main St | open | |
| Mush Coffee Shop | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 Dock St | open |
| Po-Boys | Other | Sandwiches | 142 Main St | open |
| Puerta Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 142 Main St | open |
| Raices Boricua | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 12 Centre Ave | open |
| Red Label Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 268A Atlantic Ave | open |
| Reel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1 Main St | open |
| Sapori's Pizzeria and Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 144 Main St | open |
| Somi & Sori Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 438 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Soup Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 492 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Speak easy Tapas Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 451 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Super Pollo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 39 Main St | open |
| Thai Ramen and Bubble Tea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Japanese · Asian | 10 Davison Plaza | open |
| The Bold O'Donoghue's | Bar | 2 Ocean Ave | open | |
| The Fishery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1 Main St | open |
| The Gristmill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 144 Main St | open |
| The Poop Deck | Bar | 15 Cammerer Ave | open | |
| Unique Asian Aroma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Main St | open | |
| Villa Maria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 81 Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 80 Ocean Ave | open |
| Yuki Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 260 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3 Main St | closed |
| Fresh Stop Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 274 Atlantic Ave | closed |
| Say Cheese | Bakery | Bakery | 1 Maxwell St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 18 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 17 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 17 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 17 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 23 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |