BMIE Market 11703
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,187 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,093 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,415 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,964 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $137,158 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $521,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,726 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11703 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 24.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +17.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.4 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.5 | 84 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.2 | 50 | 35% | +17.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 18.4 | 18 | 25% | +4.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,187 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 137,158 | 94 | 40% | +37.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,565 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -35.7 | 9 | 35% | +3.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.7 | 50 | 25% | +12.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,187 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 137,158 | 94 | 20% | +18.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 50% | +7.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -35.7 | 9 | 30% | +2.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 17.4 | 44 | 20% | +8.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (71)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 10 · Asian 7 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 7 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Italian 5 · Mexican 5 · Chinese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sushi 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Breakfast 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 13 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 North Babylon Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1114 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| A and G Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1350 Deer Park Ave #26 | open |
| Applebee's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1251 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Atlantis Diner | Casual dining | American | open | |
| Avocados Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 1143 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 1201 Deer Park Ave Ste 1203 | open |
| Bubble Tea Culture | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1161 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1112 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1300 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery | 1163 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Casa del Campo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1159 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Ching Lai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 62 Deer Shore Sq | open |
| Chip City Chip City | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 1240 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Continental Diner | Casual dining | American | 1143 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Dalisa Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1500 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Deer Park Pediatric Practice Pllc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 789 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Dunkin Deer Park Ave | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1206 Deer Park Ave | open |
| East End Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop | Coffee | 775 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Fca Restaurant Group Ii Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1143 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1192 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Green Cactus Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1209 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Hau Sing Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 767 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Hell's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse | 1290 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Hibachi Grill & Supreme Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 1114 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Imperial Orchid | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 724 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Island Empanada Island Empanada | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 1290 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Island Jerk Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1350 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Li Billing Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1231 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Limon Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1157 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Long Island Answering Service Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1231 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Mama Sbarros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2074 Deer Park Blvd | open |
| Mangia Pizza and Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 785 Deer Park Ave | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 131 Sunrise Hwy. | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1255 Deer Park Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1510 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 170 Bay Shore Rd | open |
| N & B Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 760 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Naz's Halal Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 1171 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Nazar Turkish Restaurant & Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 1474 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Nite Cap | Bar | 765 Deer Pk Rd | open | |
| Nonna Bella's | Café | Italian · Pizza · Coffee | 765 Deer Park Ave | open |
| North Babylon Bean Coffee House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 775 Deer Pk Rd | open |
| North Babylon Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 785 Deer Park Ave # H | open |
| Ok Petroleum | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 755 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Panera Bread | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1258 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Philly Pretzel Factory Philly Pretzel Factory | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1150 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Pizza Crust Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 785 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Pizzaiola | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1162 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Quac Time Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1142 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Rally's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1260 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Ralph's Famous Italian Ices Ralph's Italian Ices- Lanoka Harbor, NJ | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1290-1298 Deer Park Ave | open |
| RC Smokes Inc. | Bar | 1448 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1380 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1238 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Sushi & Thai Express Chinese & Sushi Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1165 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Mexican | 1245 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Tea House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 185 Bay Shore Rd | open |
| Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 1201 Deer Park Ave | open |
| The 3 Art Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1159 Deer Park Ave | open | |
| The Long Island Tartufo Company | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 49 Woods Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 170 Bay Shore Rd | open |
| Top China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1350 Deer Pk Rd #28 | open |
| Toxic Wings | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Chicken / wings | 1290 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Wally's Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1137 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1234 Deer Park Ave. | open |
| Westside Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 1490 Deer Pk Rd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1209 Deer Park Ave | open |
| Krysten's Good Eats And Treats | Other | Sandwiches | 775 Deer Park Ave | closed |
| Oriental Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1159 Deer Park Ave | closed |
| Original Brooklyn Pizza Ii | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1350 Deer Park Ave Ste 24 | closed |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1157 Deer Park Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 28 | 26 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 27 | 25 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 28 | 26 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 25 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 40 | 37 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 36 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 40 | 37 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 42 | 40 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 43 | 41 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 42 | 41 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 43 | 42 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 40 | 38 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 38 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 39 | 37 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 33 | 10 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 31 | 9 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 33 | 31 | 7 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 30 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 27 | 7 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |