BMIE Market 11932

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	725 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	319 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,398 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$173,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,091 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$1,698,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±355,878 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11932
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	100.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11932. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.7	56	40%	+22.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.1	43	35%	+15.1
Market Momentum Score	44.4	44	25%	+11.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	725	27	40%	+10.7
Median household income (ACS)	173,672	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	319	29	20%	+5.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	234.5	2	25%	+0.4
Population (ACS)	725	27	20%	+5.4
Median household income (ACS)	173,672	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 7 · Italian 6 · Bakery 4 · European 4 · Pizza 4 · Dessert 3 · French 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alison Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	95 School St	open
Almond	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	1 Ocean Rd	open
Almond	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1970 Montauk Hwy	open
American Pie Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2044 Montauk Hwy	open
Armin and Judy	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Seafood	1970 Montauk Hwy	open
Bobby Van's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2393 Montauk Hwy	open
Bridgehampton Breeze Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		78 Bridgefield Rd	open
Bridgehampton Candy Kitchen	Dessert	Dessert	Montauk Hwy	open
Bridgehampton Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2442 Montauk Hwy	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2033 Montauk Hwy	open
Channing Daughters Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1927 Scuttle Hole Rd	open
Dan's Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)		154 Snake Hollow Rd	open
Dopo il Ponte Bridgehampton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2402 Montauk Hwy	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2044 Montauk Hwy Bridgehampton Commons	open
Elaia Estiatorio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Greek · Mediterranean · European	95 School St	open
Hampton Coffee at the Hampton Classic (Mobile Espresso Unit)	Food truck		240 Snake Hollow Road	open
Java Nation	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	112 Maple Ln	open
Jean-Georges	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	1 Bridgehampton-Sag Harbor Turnpike	open
Jellyfish Concessions	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	535 Jobs Lane	open
Juice Press	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2486 Montauk Hwy	open
Levain Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	372 Lumber Ln	open
Loaves and Fishes Lifestyle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2266 Montauk Hwy	open
Mercado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	1970 montauk Highway	open
Mickey B's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	173 Sag Harbor Turnpike	open
Nourish by Roundtree	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	203 Bridgehampton-Sag Harbor Turnpike	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	2044 Montauk Hwy	open
Pierre's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	2478 Main St	open
Plant Based Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2441 Main St	open
South Fork Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	203 Sag Harbor Bridgehampton Tpke	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2488 Montauk Hwy	open
Sundaes on Main	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2414 Montauk Highway	open
The Golden Pear Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	2426 Montauk Hwy	open
The Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2123 Montauk Hwy	open
TonyMeatball1929	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Italian · Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	2462 Montauk Hwy	open
World Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2402 Montauk Hwy	open
Yama Q	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2393 Montauk Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	16	12	3	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	20	17	13	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	18	16	11	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	17	12	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	10	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	15	9	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	15	9	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	8	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	9	2	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	9	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	8	2	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	9	1	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	10	1	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	10	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	9	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	9	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	17	10	—	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	9	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	8	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	8	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	16	8	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	16	8	3	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	8	4	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11932. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11962	1.9 mi	4	2020
11976	2.2 mi	13	2023
11975	3.3 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.