BMIE Market 11976
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 2,952 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,315 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±329 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 1,565 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,201 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $180,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77,220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 52.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $2,000,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11976 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 57.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +225.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11976. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.9 | 71 | 40% | +28.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.8 | 58 | 35% | +20.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.0 | 75 | 25% | +18.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 2,952 | 52 | 40% | +20.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 180,250 | 98 | 40% | +39.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,315 | 54 | 20% | +10.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 35% | +24.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 44.0 | 12 | 25% | +2.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 2,952 | 52 | 20% | +10.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 180,250 | 98 | 20% | +19.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 30 | 83 | 50% | +41.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 30% | +21.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 44.4 | 61 | 20% | +12.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (27)
By cuisine
American 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Greek 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpina Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 670 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Bandit Coffee & Matcha | Coffee shop | Coffee | 670 Montauk Hwy C-1 | open |
| Bistro Ete | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · Mediterranean · European | 760 Montauk Hwy | open |
| CasanovaHamptons | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 755 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Chloe's Soft Serve Fruit Co. | Dessert | Dessert | 869 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Ciao Fresco Restaurant Group L | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 670 Montauk Hwy Unit 3f | open | |
| Dish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 760 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Duck Walk Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 231 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1138 Montauk Hwy Hess | open |
| Fuschsia Garden Des | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 500 Scuttle Hole Rd | open |
| Green Gold Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 1346 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Hampton Coffee Company Hampton Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 869 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Hampton Kitchen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) · American | 670 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Incredible Caterers Vii At The Hamptons Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 688 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Jimmy's Gyros Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 1020 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Kissaki Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 670 Montauk Hwy Ste E | open |
| Mirko's restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 670 Montauk Hwy | open |
| MUSE Restaurant & Aquatic Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 760 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Robert's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 755 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Sabrosa Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1152 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Suki Zuki | Bar | Japanese · Sushi | 688 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Summer Fling Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 760 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| The Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 720 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Greenwich | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Chinese · American | 1020 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Pike | Food truck | 851 Head of Pond Rd | open | |
| Vincent's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 44 Surrey Circle | open |
| Water Mill Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 670 Montauk Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |