BMIE Market 11968

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,312 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,541 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,593 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,398 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$156,219 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,148 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,326,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283,104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	58 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11968
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	43.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+38.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 48–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11968. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.8	85	40%	+33.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.4	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	58.2	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,312	77	40%	+30.8
Median household income (ACS)	156,219	97	40%	+38.7
Households (ACS)	5,831	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.6	49	35%	+17.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	37.9	14	25%	+3.6
Population (ACS)	15,312	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	156,219	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.5	69	50%	+34.7
10-year restaurant growth	3.6	49	30%	+14.6
20-year restaurant growth	18.4	45	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (125)

By cuisine

American 20 · Sandwiches 17 · Coffee 11 · Italian 10 · Dessert 8 · Seafood 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 4 · French 4 · Japanese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Breakfast 3 · European 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Mexican 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 84 · Bar 19 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 13 · Specialty food shop 13 · Dessert 12 · Café 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
75 Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	75 Main St	open
76a Jobs Lane Deli Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		76A Jobs Ln	open
Andreas Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 Hill St	open
Baranda	Restaurant (service type not stated)		850 County Road 39	open
Barrister's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	36 Main St	open
Beach Treasures at Grammy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	42 Montauk Hwy	open
Birdies Ale House	Bar		801 County Rd 39 Unit 1	open
Blackburn Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1271 Noyack Rd	open
BLT Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	281 County Road 39A	open
Blu Mar Hamptons	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mediterranean	136 Main St	open
Blue Duck Bakery Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	30 Hampton Rd	open
Boa Thai Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	129 Noyack Rd	open
Buckley's Irish Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		76 Jobs Ln	open
Bulldog's Run Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17 Cameron St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	71 County Rd 39	open
Cabana Latina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	541 Montauk Hwy	open
Cafe Crust	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches · Pizza	850 County Road 39	open
Captain Jack's On The Coast	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	1109 Noyack Rd	open
Captains Neck & Co.	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 Captains Neck Ln	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	22 Jobs Ln	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	790 County Rd 39	open
Coast Grill And Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1109 Noyack Rd	open
Coopers Beach Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	268 Meadow Ln	open
DeJesus Deli & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	376 County Rd 39	open
Deli Fresh Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1282 N Sea Rd	open
Dolce Vita	Casual dining		95 Main St	open
Dopo Argento	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	15 Main St	open
Dragon Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	369 N Sea Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	20 County Rd 39	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	816 County Road 39	open
El Verano	Bar		10 Windmill Ln	open
Elm Street Restaurant Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		256 Elm St	open
Enchante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 Hampton Rd	open
Enramada Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	450 County Road 39	open
Fellingham's	Bar · Casual dining	American	17 Cameron St	open
FĒNIKS Cuisine and Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · European	75 Jobs Ln	open
Four Oaks Gourmet Deli	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Vegetarian · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast	42 Jagger Ln	open
Fresco Pizza & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	623 NY-27A	open
Fudge Co Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	66 Jobs Ln	open
Goldberg's Famous Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	801 County Rd 39	open
Golden Pear Bake Shop The Golden Pear Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	99 Main St	open
Greek Bites Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Greek · Middle Eastern	1746 County Road 39	open
Hampton Bays	Bar			open
Hampton Coffee Company Hampton Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	749 County Rd 39A	open
Hansen's Snack Bar	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	668 County Road 39	open
Il Pellicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	136 Main St	open
Jue Lan Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		268 Elm St	open
Juice Press Juice Hub	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	93 Main St	open
Ketchy Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	281 County Road 39A	open
Kombat-Cha	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	39 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Kozu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	136 Main St	open
L'Isolina Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		39 Tuckahoe Rd	open
La Goulue Sur Mer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	210 Hampton Rd	open
La Hacienda Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	48 Jagger Ln	open
La Parmigiana Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	44-48 NY-27A	open
Las Cucharitas Ltd	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	24 Jagger Ln	open
Le Charlot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	36 Main St #4811	open
Le Dulce	Dessert	Dessert	39 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Limoncello Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Little Red	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		76C Jobs Ln	open
Local Burger - Southampton Local Burger - Bay Shore	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	668 County Rd 39	open
Lunch Lobster Roll Southampton Lobster Roll AKA Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sandwiches · American	32 Montauk Hwy	open
Luxe Fresh Seafood	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood · Sandwiches	1282 N Sea Rd	open
Madame Tong's	Bar		256 Elm St	open
Main Prospect	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Prospect St	open
Maison Close Southampton Maison Close NYC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		281 CR-39A	open
Maison Vivienne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	136 Main St	open
Mazzu's Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	120 Wooley St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	307 N Sea Rd	open
Melrose East &pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	801 County Road 39	open
Montauk Iced Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	116 N Sea Rd	open
Moose Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	395 County Road 39A	open
Morgan 2424 Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		609 Hampton Rd Ste 8	open
Naia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		281 County Road 39A	open
Nammos Southampton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	136 Main St	open
Nobu at Capri	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	281 County Road 39A # 27	open
North Sea Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1271 N Sea Rd	open
Nounos Creamery	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Oreya	Restaurant (service type not stated)		281 County Road 39A	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse Australia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse		open
P&g Pizza And Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	20 County Road 39	open
Paul's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	21 Hill St	open
Pellegrino's Pizza Bar and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1271 Noyack Rd	open
PLAIN-T	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	87 Powell Ave	open
Porco's Country Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	926 Noyack Rd	open
Pristine Kitchens & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1691 N Highway	open
Raindrop's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	40 Montauk Hwy Suite B	open
Raindrop's Greenery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	40 Hampton Rd	open
Raw'r Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1271 N Sea Rd	open
Redbar Brasserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 Hampton Rd	open
Rotonda Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		850 County Road 39	open
Rustik Cake Studio	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	53 Hill St Suite 72	open
Saaz Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1746 County Rd 39	open
Sant Ambroeus Southampton Sant Ambroeus	Café · Coffee shop	Italian · Coffee	30 Main St	open
Savanna's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Steakhouse · American	268 Elm St	open
Sean's Place	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	76A Jobs Ln	open
Seasons of Southampton	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Casual dining	American	235A N Sea Rd	open
Shinnecock Indian Outpost	Coffee shop	Coffee	42 Montauk Hwy	open
Shinnecock Lobster Factory	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Seafood · Sandwiches · American	42 Montauk Hwy	open
Shippy's Pumpernickels East Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	36 Windmill Ln	open
Showwin Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1678 County Rd 39	open
Shrish Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1746 County Road 39	open
Silmil Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Montauk Hwy	open
Silver's Restaurant	Café	Coffee	15 Main St	open
Sip 'n Soda	Dessert · Casual dining	Breakfast · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	40 Hampton Rd	open
South Fork Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	863 CR-39	open
Southampton Publick House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Brewery / taproom	American	62 Jobs Ln	open
Southampton's Going Nuts	Dessert		Jobs Lane	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	29 Hampton Rd	open
Tate's Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	43 N Sea Rd	open
Ted's East End Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	264 Hampton Rd	open
The Chicken Spot Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Latin American (other)	235 N Sea Rd	open
The Coop TOGO	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	256 Elm St	open
The Driver's Seat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	62 Jobs Ln	open
The Fudge Company	Dessert		67 Main St	open
The Racquet Lounge \| Southampton	Bar		125 Sandy Hollow Rd	open
The Tackle Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Asian	76C Jobs Ln	open
Tidewater AAA Pub	Bar		130 Montauk Hwy	open
Tuscan House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	10 Windmill Ln	open
Tutto Il Giorno South	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	56 Nugent St	open
Union Burger Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	40 Bowden Square	open
Union Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 Bowden Sq	open
Zen Contemporary Japanese Bar and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	42 High Street	open
Casual Water	Restaurant (service type not stated)		241 County Road 39a Ste 5	closed
Le Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)		75 Jobs Ln	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	44	42	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	45	43	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	49	45	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	50	46	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	51	43	25	10	8	5	NAICS1997
1999	52	43	24	10	8	5	NAICS1997
2000	53	45	25	10	9	4	NAICS1997
2001	51	45	26	10	7	4	NAICS1997
2002	52	43	26	9	8	5	NAICS1997
2003	53	49	25	15	9	2	NAICS2002
2004	52	48	25	16	7	2	NAICS2002
2005	50	46	24	14	8	2	NAICS2002
2006	50	45	23	14	8	1	NAICS2002
2007	49	44	25	13	6	2	NAICS2002
2008	52	42	23	13	6	4	NAICS2007
2009	54	46	26	14	6	2	NAICS2007
2010	57	50	30	13	6	3	NAICS2007
2011	56	49	27	15	7	3	NAICS2007
2012	61	53	29	18	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	64	56	31	18	7	2	NAICS2012
2014	64	54	30	16	8	2	NAICS2012
2015	62	52	28	15	9	2	NAICS2012
2016	66	56	30	17	9	3	NAICS2012
2017	63	54	31	15	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	60	52	28	16	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	63	51	27	16	8	3	NAICS2017
2020	61	50	29	14	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	63	54	31	15	8	—	NAICS2017
2022	63	55	32	15	8	3	NAICS2022
2023	67	58	33	17	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11968. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11976	4.7 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.