BMIE Market 11946

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,096 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,068 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,176 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$133,918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±459 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$737,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,300 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11946
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	34.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+51.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 33–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11946. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.9	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.1	52	35%	+18.3
Market Momentum Score	55.8	56	25%	+13.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,819	77	40%	+31.0
Median household income (ACS)	133,918	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	6,096	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.8	23	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	15,819	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	133,918	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (89)

By cuisine

American 17 · Seafood 12 · Bakery 10 · Italian 10 · Coffee 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Pizza 7 · Latin American (other) 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Steakhouse 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Bar 17 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 11 · Café 8 · Specialty food shop 7 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1 North Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1 North Rd	open
1 North Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	322 W Montauk Hwy	open
Amalfi Coastal Kitchen & Cocktails	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	32 Lighthouse Rd	open
Antojitos Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other)	40 W Montauk Hwy	open
Atlixco Hamptons Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Sandwiches	105 W Montauk Hwy	open
Backbar Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	78 Foster Ave	open
Bagel Place Cafe and Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	40 W Montauk Hwy	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	127 E Montauk Hwy	open
Beach Bar	Casual dining · Bar		58 Foster Ave	open
Buckley's Inn Between	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	139 W Montauk Hwy	open
Canal Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Seafood	44 Newtown Rd	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	73 E Montauk Hwy	open
Centro 336	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	336 W Montauk Hwy	open
Cowfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	258 E Montauk Hwy	open
Crash Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Lighthouse Rd	open
Davinci's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	42 E Montauk Hwy	open
Deros Food & Family	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Italian	149 W Montauk Hwy	open
Dockers Restaurant & Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		94 Dune Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	260 W Montauk Hwy	open
Doran's	Bar		2 W Montauk Hwy	open
Drift Inn	Bar		58 Foster Ave	open
Dune Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	363 Dune Rd	open
East End Charcuterie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused			open
Edgewater Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	295 E Montauk Hwy	open
El Mariachi Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	122 E Montauk Hwy	open
Ericks Sound Beach Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		125 W Montauk Hwy	open
Familia Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	252-9 W Montauk Hwy	open
Food & Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	13 Bellows Pond Rd	open
Francesca's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 Ponquogue Ave	open
Francesca's Italian Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	12 Ginny Ln	open
Gators Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6 W Montauk Highway	open
Gemelli Gelato of Hampton Bays	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	139 W Montauk Hwy	open
Guava Tropical	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	26 W Montauk Hwy	open
Hampton Bays Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	252 W Montauk Hwy	open
Hampton Bays Diner	Casual dining	American	157 W Montauk Hwy	open
Hampton Bays Pet Supply	Bakery	Bakery	44 E Montauk Hwy	open
Hampton Gyro and Grill - Hampton Bays	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · American	252 W Montauk Hwy	open
Hampton Lady Beach Bar & Grill	Bar		363 Dune Rd	open
Indian Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood · Indian	258 E Montauk Hwy	open
Jimmy C's	Bar · Casual dining		87 North Rd	open
Katrinka’s Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	150 E Montauk Hwy	open
Kong Chen Chinese Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10 W Montauk Hwy	open
Krieg's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	39 W Montauk Hwy	open
La Fogata Bar & Grill	Bar		174 E Montauk Hwy	open
Manna Restaurant at The Lobster Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5 Inlet Rd W	open
Matsulin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	131 W Montauk Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	196 W Montauk Hwy	open
Melrose Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	113 W Montauk Hwy	open
Ming Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	252 W Montauk Hwy	open
Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	252-1 W Montauk Hwy	open
Molnar's Landing	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		31 Alanson Ln	open
Nuevo Diamante Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	194 E Montauk Hwy	open
Oakland's Restaurant & Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	373 Beach Rd	open
Out of the Blue Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	252 E Montauk Hwy	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	180 West Montauk Highway	open
Pastelero Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	105 W Montauk Hwy	open
Pete's Hampton Bays Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	274 W Montauk Hwy B	open
Ponquogue Beach Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Porkys Hamptons	Bar · Quick service		80 E Montauk Hwy	open
R.AIRE at The Hampton Maid	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	259 E Montauk Hwy	open
Red Truck Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	87 Foster Ave	open
Reggi’s Surf Side	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Dune Rd, Hampton Bays, NY 11946, United States	open
Rod N’ Reel	Bar			open
Rumba Rum Bar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 Canoe Place Rd	open
Salvatores Of The Hamptons	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	149 W Montauk Hwy	open
SandCastle Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	Dune Rd	open
Scotto's Pork Store	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	25 W Montauk Hwy	open
Shuckers Lobster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Foster Ave	open
Skippers On the Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	256 E Montauk Hwy	open
Slo-Jack's Drive-In Jack's	Casual dining	American · Burgers	212 W Montauk Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	24 Montauk Highway Hampton Bays Town Center	open
Sundays On The Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	369 Dune Rd	open
Taqueria Mi Pueblito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	204 E Montauk Hwy	open
Tasty Zone	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	12 W Montauk Hwy	open
The Bays Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		214 W Montauk Hwy	open
The Capri Group Hamptons Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		336 W Montauk Hwy	open
The Cottage	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	French · Caribbean · Coffee	76 W Montauk Hwy	open
The Hamlet	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	31 Shinnecock Rd	open
The Pizza Place John's of Times Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	125 W Montauk Hwy	open
The Station Bar	Bar · Casual dining		22 Shinnecock Rd	open
Tiki Joe's Meschutt Tiki Joe's Smith Point	Casual dining · Bar		90 Bishop Pl	open
Tony's Fusion Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1 W Montauk Hwy	open
TR Restaurant & Bar	Quick service	Seafood · American	78 Foster Ave	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	32 E. Montauk Hwy	open
Tullys Seafood Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	78 Foster Ave	open
Uncle Joe's Pizza and Parlour	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	42 E Montauk Hwy	open
Villa Paul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	162 W Montauk Hwy	open
Whales Tale - Hampton Bays	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	78 Foster Ave	open
Boardy Barn	Bar		270 W Montauk Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	36	29	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	38	29	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1996	40	32	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	41	32	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	43	35	15	13	7	7	NAICS1997
1999	43	35	15	12	8	7	NAICS1997
2000	42	32	14	12	6	8	NAICS1997
2001	41	32	15	13	4	7	NAICS1997
2002	45	34	17	13	4	9	NAICS1997
2003	44	32	16	13	3	10	NAICS2002
2004	43	34	18	13	3	7	NAICS2002
2005	46	38	20	14	4	7	NAICS2002
2006	49	40	24	12	4	7	NAICS2002
2007	47	41	24	12	5	5	NAICS2002
2008	47	41	23	11	7	5	NAICS2007
2009	51	44	26	12	6	5	NAICS2007
2010	57	49	28	14	7	6	NAICS2007
2011	49	40	22	13	5	6	NAICS2007
2012	52	43	24	15	4	6	NAICS2012
2013	53	44	24	17	3	6	NAICS2012
2014	54	45	25	17	3	7	NAICS2012
2015	47	40	24	13	3	5	NAICS2012
2016	43	36	22	11	3	5	NAICS2012
2017	49	40	23	13	4	5	NAICS2017
2018	48	40	23	13	4	5	NAICS2017
2019	51	42	23	14	5	5	NAICS2017
2020	47	38	19	14	5	6	NAICS2017
2021	51	40	21	14	5	7	NAICS2017
2022	48	38	20	13	5	5	NAICS2022
2023	56	44	23	16	5	6	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11946. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11942	3.0 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.