BMIE Market 11978
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 4,705 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±676 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 3,255 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,879 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $125,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,879 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,150 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±545 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,054,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109,462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11978 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 83.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +31.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +46.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +65.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 35–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11978. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.2 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.7 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 74.7 | 75 | 25% | +18.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 4,705 | 59 | 40% | +23.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,179 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,704 | 58 | 20% | +11.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 26.7 | 69 | 35% | +24.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 80.8 | 5 | 25% | +1.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 4,705 | 59 | 20% | +11.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,179 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 31.0 | 84 | 50% | +41.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 26.7 | 69 | 30% | +20.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 46.2 | 61 | 20% | +12.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (71)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 5 · Seafood 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Bar 14 · Café 9 · Quick service 9 · Dessert 7 · Specialty food shop 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Bambinos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 103 Main St | open |
| Antojitos Chapin | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 136 Old Riverhead Rd | open |
| Atlantica | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 231 Dune Rd | open |
| Atomic Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings · Burgers · American | 85 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Baby Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 238 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Beach Bakery and Grand Cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 112 Main St | open |
| Big City Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 85 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Brunetti Pizza Westhampton Beach | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 61 Main St | open |
| Bun & Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 222 Mill Rd | open |
| Cafe Volo | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 335 Sheldon Way | open |
| Caffeine Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 115 Main St | open |
| Casa Exquisita Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 4 Hazelwood Ave | open |
| Chinatown Restaurant Chinatown Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 68 Old Riverhead Rd | open |
| Corner Cafe & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 77 Main St | open |
| Country Heroes | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 77 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Dee Angelo's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 149 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 223 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Eckart's Luncheonette | Casual dining | American | 162 Mill Rd | open |
| Edible Arrangements Edible Arrangements | Dessert | Dessert | 82 Old Riverhead Rd | open |
| Fauna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 6 Parlato Dr | open |
| Finn McCools | Bar | 101 Riverhead Rd | open | |
| Firehouse Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 196 Montauk Hwy | open |
| flora | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 149 Main St | open |
| FUNCHOS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 127 Main St Westhampton | open |
| Glorias Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 30 Riverhead Rd | open | |
| Goldberg's Famous Deli & Restaurant | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 65 Main St | open |
| Guaranteed Chimney Services Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 381 Riverhead Rd Ste 6 | open | |
| Haagen Dazs | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 103 Main St | open |
| Hampton Chocolate Factory | Dessert | Dessert | 77 Main St | open |
| Hampton Coffee Company Hampton Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 194 Mill Rd | open |
| Healthy Treats Inc.-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 82 Riverhead Rd | open | |
| Holy Moses Desserts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 332 Francis S Gabreski Airport | open | |
| Irish Minds Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 87 Sunset Ave | open | |
| Ivy On Main | Bar | American | 103 Main St | open |
| Jim-tom 160 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 141 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Joe's American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 240 Montauk Hwy | open |
| John Scott's Surf Shack | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 540 Dune Rd | open |
| Los Tres Diamantes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 279 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Lt Burger West | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 115 Main St | open |
| Main Street Sweets Ben & Jerry's | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 121 Main St | open |
| Mambo Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 103 Main St | open | |
| Margarita Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 83 Main St | open |
| Mill Road Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 212 Mill Rd | open |
| One Trick Pony | Café · Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 59 Main St | open |
| Patagonia West | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 379 Dune Rd | open | |
| Pizzetteria Brunetti | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 103 Main St | open | |
| PopUp Bagels Popup Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 130 Main St | open |
| Red Fortune Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 141 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Salt and Loft | Bar · Café | American · Coffee | 145 Main St | open |
| Saltwater Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 379 Dune Rd | open |
| Schmidt's Beach Cafe | Café | Coffee | 172 Dune Rd | open |
| Seatuck Services Inc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 644 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Sheena Mediterranean Turkish Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 214 Mill Rd | open |
| Shock Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 99 Main St | open |
| SoBol Westhampton Beach SoBol Beverly | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 87 Sunset Ave | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 195 Mill Rd | open |
| Sunset Court Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 60 Sunset Ave | open |
| Sushi 1 Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 210 Mill Rd | open |
| Sydney Taylor Made Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 103 Main St | open | |
| Taylor's Sushi Suite Sushi Suite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 32 Mill Rd A | open |
| The Beach House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 975 Dune Rd | open | |
| The Claddagh | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 141 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Mill Roadhouse | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 142 Mill Road | open | |
| The Patio The Patio | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 54 Main St | open |
| Tiki Joes | Bar | 906 Dune Rd | open | |
| Toninos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 88-90 Old Riverhead Rd | open |
| Tony's Fusion West | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 23 Sunset Ave | open |
| Westhampton Beach Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 220 Roger's Way | open | |
| Westhampton Beach Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 11 Rogers Ave | open |
| Whitney's Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 98 Old Riverhead Rd | open |
| Whitney's Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 98 Old Riverhead Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 29 | 23 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 28 | 22 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 23 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 33 | 29 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 34 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 31 | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 31 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 30 | 16 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 39 | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |