BMIE Market 12084

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±589 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,177 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,271 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,205 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,598 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$348,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12084
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	28.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12084. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.7	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.7	61	35%	+21.2
Market Momentum Score	40.8	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,328	61	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	91,063	74	40%	+29.7
Households (ACS)	2,177	62	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.5	31	25%	+7.8
Population (ACS)	5,328	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	91,063	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Italian 5 · American 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · European 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 6 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2080 Western Ave	open
Café Teria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2050 Western Ave	open
Caffe Italia Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	2080 Western Ave	open
Capriccio on the Green	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1151 Siver Rd	open
Cat's Meow	Bar		14 New Karner Rd	open
Dharani	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2050 Western Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2060 Western Ave Star Plaza	open
fin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2050 Western Ave	open
I Love NY Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2080 Western Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2080 Western Ave Ste. 125	open
Juicy Burgers & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5 New Karner Rd	open
Junior's Bar & Grill Guilderland Junior's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2080 Western Ave	open
King's Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2080 Western Ave Unit 150	open
Marisa's Place	Bar	Pizza · Italian	5 New Karner Rd	open
Orchard Tavern West	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2050 Western Ave	open
Pizza Gram Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2514 Western Ave	open
Recovery Sports Grill Guilderland, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2080 Western Ave	open
Red Caboose 8720 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2080 Western Ave Ste 170	open
Sage Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	2050 Western Ave	open
Shu Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2050 Western Ave	open
Siver Hills Restaurant & Banquet House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1151 Siver Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2080 Western Ave. Hamilton Square	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2050 Western Ave Ste 201	open
Tesoro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2080 Western Ave	open
The Hedge Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2350 Western Ave	open
The Hidden Cafe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2050 Western Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	6	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	5	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	16	12	4	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	17	11	4	4	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	16	11	5	3	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	18	13	7	3	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	21	15	7	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	14	8	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	20	13	6	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	15	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12084. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12203	3.0 mi	105	2023
12303	3.4 mi	37	2023
12085	3.4 mi	1	2016
12159	3.7 mi	13	2023
12205	3.9 mi	121	2023
12222	4.1 mi	1	2014
12304	4.8 mi	41	2023
12226	4.9 mi	1	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.