BMIE Market 12159

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,163 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±940 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,581 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±338 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,896 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,456 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$128,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$449,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12159
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	49 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12159. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.0	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.4	49	35%	+17.3
Market Momentum Score	49.2	49	25%	+12.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,163	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	128,306	93	40%	+37.0
Households (ACS)	3,581	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	35%	+5.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.9	49	25%	+12.4
Population (ACS)	8,163	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	128,306	93	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	44.4	61	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andrew's Burger Shed	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs · American	1342 New Scotland Rd	open
Bake For You	Bakery	Bakery	5001 Dunhill Ct	open
Bellini's Italian Eatery Bellini's Italian Eatery - Latham	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	10 Vista Blvd	open
Ben & Bill's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1395 New Scotland Rd	open
Canape Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)		334 Krumkill Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1365 New Scotland Rd	open
Emma Cleary's Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery · American	1926 New Scotland Rd	open
Garden Bistro 24	Casual dining		5 Vista Blvd	open
Gold Coin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1360 New Scotland Rd	open
Krumkill Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)		334 Krumkill Rd	open
Las Margaritas Mexican Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1365 New Scotland Rd	open
New Village Deli & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1526 New Scotland Rd	open
Pizza By Dominick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1969 New Scotland Rd	open
Roux	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10 Vista Blvd # 01	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1395 New Scotland Rd	open
Tastee Treat	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2070 New Scotland Rd	open
Toll Gate Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1569 New Scotland Rd	open
Tomo Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1365 New Scotland Rd	open
Two Little Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	400 Maple Rd	open
Windowbox Cafe Bob & Linda's	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1969 New Scotland Rd	open
Wren & Rail	Restaurant (service type not stated)		198 New Scotland South Rd	open
Digikel Media	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1972 New Scotland Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	5	1	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	5	2	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	5	1	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	6	1	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	7	1	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	6	1	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	6	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	9	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	9	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12159. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12203	2.9 mi	105	2023
12054	3.4 mi	37	2023
12084	3.7 mi	12	2023
12208	3.9 mi	49	2023
12222	3.9 mi	1	2014
12226	4.3 mi	1	2011
12186	4.8 mi	7	2023
12209	4.9 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.