BMIE Market 12209

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,626 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±981 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,323 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,121 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,501 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,390 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$217,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12209
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12209. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.2	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.3	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	16.8	17	25%	+4.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,626	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	89,390	73	40%	+29.1
Households (ACS)	4,323	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.2	60	25%	+14.9
Population (ACS)	10,626	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	89,390	73	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.2	12	50%	+6.1
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	7.7	38	20%	+7.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 7 · Italian 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Peruvian 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 7 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andy's & Sons Importing Co	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	256 Delaware Ave	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	477 Delaware Ave	open
Barf's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		41 Marshall St	open
Bitchin Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Vegetarian	540 Delaware Ave	open
Chico’s Caribbean Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	256 Delaware Ave	open
Cusato's Pizzeria & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	448 Delaware Ave	open
Deli Paisanitos	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	458 Delaware Ave	open
Delicias Latina Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other)	532 Delaware Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	339 Southern Blvd	open
Elbo Room	Casual dining · Bar		170 Delaware Ave	open
Emack & Bolio's	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	366 Delaware Ave	open
Friendly Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	485 Delaware Ave	open
Kha & Mel's Coffee + Tea Room	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	8 Kate St	open
L' Roca Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	170 Delaware Ave	open
La Empanada Llama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	469 Delaware Ave	open
Mash More	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	274 Delaware Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	31 Holland Ave	open
Mingle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	544 Delaware Ave	open
My Linh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	272 Delaware Ave # 1747	open
New Number One Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	466 Delaware Ave	open
New World Bistro Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Delaware Avenue	open
Nicole's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European · American	556 Delaware Ave	open
Pho Yum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	Delaware Avenue	open
Pie Hole Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	72 Hurlbut St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	485 Delaware Avenue	open
Pizzeria Michelina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	376 Delaware Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	351 Southern Blvd	open
Prinzo's Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Italian	344 Delaware Ave	open
Sabor a Campo Sabor a Campo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · American	485 Delaware Ave	open
Sam's Italian & American Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	125 Southern Blvd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	351 Southern Blvd	open
Sweet Basil Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	370 Delaware Ave	open
Sweet Eats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	274 Delaware Ave	open
The Boulevard	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	125 Southern Blvd	open
The Delaware Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	300 Delaware Ave	open
Ye Olde Sports Bar	Bar		38 Jeanette St	open
Carosello Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	72 Hurlbut St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	24	20	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	25	19	12	6	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	24	17	12	4	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	22	16	11	4	1	5	NAICS1997
2001	22	15	11	3	1	6	NAICS1997
2002	19	15	10	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	17	13	9	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	16	9	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	17	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	20	17	9	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	7	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	20	17	5	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	23	20	8	10	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	20	8	10	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	23	20	8	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	20	10	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	24	19	8	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	23	18	8	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12209. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12208	1.4 mi	49	2023
12202	1.6 mi	4	2023
12210	2.2 mi	48	2023
12207	2.5 mi	54	2023
12206	2.5 mi	51	2023
12226	3.0 mi	1	2011
12077	3.6 mi	26	2023
12222	3.6 mi	1	2014
12144	3.8 mi	46	2023
12203	4.3 mi	105	2023
12054	4.5 mi	37	2023
12204	4.7 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.