BMIE Market 12204

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,812 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,349 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,798 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,343 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$244,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12204
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-32.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 15–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12204. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.7	63	40%	+25.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.9	40	35%	+14.0
Market Momentum Score	20.0	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,812	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	74,841	55	40%	+22.0
Households (ACS)	3,616	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-5.6	21	35%	+7.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.8	33	25%	+8.3
Population (ACS)	7,812	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	74,841	55	20%	+11.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-32	9	50%	+4.4
10-year restaurant growth	-5.6	21	30%	+6.2
20-year restaurant growth	21.4	47	20%	+9.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · American 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 13 · Bar 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Albany Medical Center	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1275 Broadway	open
Bangkok Cuisine Menands	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	704 N Pearl St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	578 Broadway	open
Capital City Deli & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	28 N 3rd St	open
City Line Cafe & Deli	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	1144 Broadway	open
DQ Grill & Chill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4241 West Virginia Avenue	open
Druthers Brewing Company Druthers Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1053 Broadway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	500 Northern Blvd Dunkin' Plaza	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	60 Broadway	open
ETHNIKDrinkLab	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	1060 Broadway	open
Fort Orange Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		450 N Pearl St	open
Good Religion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	28 N 3rd St	open
Grazie Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	320 Northern Blvd	open
Guilderland Food Pantry	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		350 Northern Blvd	open
Hawa’s African Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	Clifford Rd, Albany, NY 12204, United States	open
Johnnie's on Broadway	Bar		1278 Broadway	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	112 Broadway	open
Kingdom Kafe'	Café · Quick service	American · Coffee	454 N Pearl St	open
Kris Mid City Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		327 Broadway	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		116 Broadway	open
Krispy Mart	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	337 Broadway	open
Mancini's Breakfast Sandwich	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	337 Broadway	open
Menands 2020 Mart ( Citgo)	Other	Sandwiches	703 N Pearl St	open
Mia Fresco	Restaurant (service type not stated)		150 Broadway	open
Mike and Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	193 Broadway	open
NY Sakura Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	376 Northern Blvd	open
Perfect World Brewing	Brewery / taproom		1276 Broadway	open
Reservations	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	359 Northern Blvd	open
Risotto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	320 Northern Blvd	open
Robco Sales Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		57 Erie Blvd	open
Ship's Pub	Bar		360 Northern Blvd	open
Stone Crow	Bar · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	99 South St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	25 Erie Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	79 Broadway	open
Sun Fai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	100 Broadway #2	open
The Grid Iron	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American · Sandwiches	1125 Broadway	open
The Lost Gnome	Café	Coffee	21 Erie Blvd	open
Tuscan Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 Broadway	open
TUSCAN OVEN PIZZA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Pizza	100 Broadway	open
Wk International Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1205 Broadway	open
Rudy's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	800 N Pearl St	closed
Zenville Lounge	Bar		1060 Broadway # 1155	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	24	20	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	23	16	6	7	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	22	16	6	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	23	16	6	7	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	23	16	6	7	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	25	18	6	10	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	20	14	6	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	14	5	9	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	21	14	5	9	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	22	15	5	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	22	16	4	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	20	14	3	10	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	24	19	4	14	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	21	17	3	13	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	18	4	13	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	19	16	4	11	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	21	18	7	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	21	16	5	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	20	18	5	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	19	17	4	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	25	6	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	22	6	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	19	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	22	6	14	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12204. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12211	1.9 mi	18	2023
12207	2.6 mi	54	2023
12210	2.7 mi	48	2023
12206	2.7 mi	51	2023
12189	3.2 mi	20	2023
12226	4.0 mi	1	2011
12202	4.1 mi	4	2023
12183	4.4 mi	3	2023
12144	4.5 mi	46	2023
12222	4.6 mi	1	2014
12110	4.6 mi	101	2023
12209	4.7 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.