BMIE Market 12202
Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,727 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,628 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,207 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $52,868 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,064 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±94 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $166,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,594 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12202 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -63.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 2 (range 0–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 1 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12202. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 50.6 | 51 | 40% | +20.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.1 | 42 | 35% | +14.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 1.1 | 1 | 25% | +0.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,166 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 52,868 | 19 | 40% | +7.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,727 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -66.7 | 1 | 35% | +0.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 3.9 | 95 | 25% | +23.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,166 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 52,868 | 19 | 20% | +3.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 1 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -66.7 | 1 | 50% | +0.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -66.7 | 1 | 30% | +0.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -63.6 | 2 | 20% | +0.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
American 13 · Breakfast 5 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 9 · Café 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Golden Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 147 Madison Ave | open | |
| Betty Boop Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 115 Philip St | open |
| Bonobo On Madison | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 174 Madison Ave | open | |
| Cucina De Pesce | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 87 4th Ave | open |
| Cupz Southern Style Cuisine | Quick service | 118 Arch St | open | |
| Downtown Platters | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 222 S Pearl St | open |
| H&l On The Hudson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5 Broadway | open |
| Harris Rebar | Bar | 126 Port Rd S | open | |
| Hill Street Cafe | Bar · Casual dining | American | 180 Madison Ave | open |
| Hinckel Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 201 Park Ave | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | 112 Broadway | open | |
| Khayma cafe n resturant | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · American | 136 Madison Ave | open |
| Krazy Skoops | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 437 S Pearl St | open |
| M & D Market Of Albany | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 190 2nd Ave # 1 | open |
| Madison Deli And Grill | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 130 Madison Ave | open |
| Matisse Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 137 Madison Ave | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Burgers · Breakfast | 136 S Pearl St | open |
| New Image Deli & Variety Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 179 S Pearl St | open |
| Shebamz Grill | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 164 Morton Ave | open |
| Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 351 Southern Blvd | open |
| South Pearl Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 265 S Pearl St | open |
| Southern Peaches | Café | American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 465 S Pearl St | open |
| Sugar Foot's Soul Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 165 Madison Ave | open |
| Suzie's | Bar | American | 8 Delaware St | open |
| Sweet Buns Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 8 Elm St | open |
| The Corner Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 153 S Pearl St | open |
| The Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | open | |
| The Wet Lab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 427 S Pearl St | open | |
| TLC Study Hall | Café | Coffee | 153 S Pearl St | open |
| Tuscan Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 100 Broadway(Mid City Plaza), 81 | open |
| Tuscan Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | American · Pizza | 123 Madison Ave | open |
| Uncle Dan's Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 240 Church St | open |
| V & R Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 136 Madison Ave | open |
| Ynot New York Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 263 S Pearl St | open |
| Centrotherm Eco Systems, Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 400 S Pearl St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 11 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 11 | 9 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 13 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 9 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |