BMIE Market 12189

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,656 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,042 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,731 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,568 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,032 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,276 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,417 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,115 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$220,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12189
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12189. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.4	64	40%	+25.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.7	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	20.1	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,656	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	65,276	39	40%	+15.7
Households (ACS)	8,731	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.7	70	25%	+17.4
Population (ACS)	18,656	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	65,276	39	20%	+7.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.0	17	50%	+8.3
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	11.1	40	20%	+8.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Pizza 9 · American 8 · Italian 8 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Burgers 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Brother's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1615 Broadway	open
Bambina's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	301 25th St	open
Ben Thanh Vietnamese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	224 19th St	open
Best Bud's Pub	Bar		614 4th Ave	open
Biz's Pinstripe Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1400 3rd Ave	open
Black Bear Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		310 19th St	open
Bob's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	929 19th St	open
Chapter 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		181 Troy Schenectady Rd	open
China Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	201 23rd St	open
courtesy RG	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	11 W End St	open
Dapps Tavern	Bar	American	2 Lincoln Ave	open
Deacon Blues	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	806 25th St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	318 19th St	open
Elite Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	185 Troy Schenectady Rd	open
Fred's Bar at The Man Cave	Bar		7th ave	open
Fri Chicks Albany	Quick service		1401 Broadway	open
Giuseppes Pizzeria and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza	450 3rd Ave	open
Gus's Hotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	212 25th St	open
Hilltop Cafe	Casual dining	American	19th street	open
Inferno Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	167 Troy Schenectady Rd	open
Lavenza Pizza Kebab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Middle Eastern	301 25th St	open
Local Flavor Cafe	Café	Coffee	620 19th St	open
Mac's Drive In Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	648 3rd Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	16th Street & Broadway	open
Michael's Michaels	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	229 23rd St	open
Muddy's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		40 Lincoln Ave	open
On The Hill Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	143 Troy-Schenectady Rd	open
Papa Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	16 Cohoes Rd	open
Papa's Corner Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1297 Broadway	open
Patrick's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	606 3rd Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20 Delatour Rd	open
Purple Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2 Cohoes Rd	open
Quechua Peruvian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	1297 Broadway	open
Rsl Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 25th St	open
Rusty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2311 2nd Ave	open
Sabor Xpress	Food truck		801 3rd Ave	open
Sadudee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	1401 Broadway	open
Schuyler Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	637 3rd Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1613 Broadway	open
Ted's Fish Fry Ted's Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · British / Irish pub food · American	447 3rd Ave	open
Teta Marie's Lebanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	1297 Broadway	open
The Arsenal Reserve	Restaurant (service type not stated)		795 3rd Ave	open
The Corner Deli: Colonie, New York	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
The Pie Lady	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	0 Hay Path	open
The Restaurant at the Pointe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Bell Tower Dr	open
The Restaurant at the Pointe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3 Carondelet Dr	open
The Shack	Bar		143 Troy-Schenectady Rd	open
Valente's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	315 8th St #3631	open
Watervliet Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		500 3rd Ave	open
Bob Ziters Food Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		929 19th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	24	19	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	23	17	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	25	17	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	25	16	9	5	2	8	NAICS1997
1999	28	17	9	7	1	8	NAICS1997
2000	30	18	11	7	—	8	NAICS1997
2001	23	14	9	5	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	24	17	11	6	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	28	18	10	7	—	7	NAICS2002
2004	30	20	10	9	—	7	NAICS2002
2005	28	18	10	7	1	7	NAICS2002
2006	33	23	12	11	—	8	NAICS2002
2007	29	21	10	10	1	7	NAICS2002
2008	30	23	9	12	2	5	NAICS2007
2009	29	23	8	13	2	5	NAICS2007
2010	27	20	8	11	1	6	NAICS2007
2011	29	23	8	13	1	5	NAICS2007
2012	28	22	9	11	1	5	NAICS2012
2013	32	26	10	13	2	5	NAICS2012
2014	30	24	11	11	2	4	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	9	13	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	24	20	8	11	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	29	24	8	14	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	28	23	9	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	26	20	7	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	26	20	8	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	27	22	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	20	9	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12189. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12183	1.5 mi	3	2023
12211	3.0 mi	18	2023
12110	3.1 mi	101	2023
12204	3.2 mi	17	2023
12047	3.3 mi	26	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.