BMIE Market 12211
Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,383 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,303 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,549 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $156,605 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,091 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,957 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $398,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,970 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12211 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 15–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12211. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.5 | 84 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.2 | 55 | 35% | +19.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 15.3 | 15 | 25% | +3.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,383 | 76 | 40% | +30.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 156,605 | 97 | 40% | +38.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,328 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 35% | +5.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.5 | 62 | 25% | +15.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,383 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 156,605 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -25 | 11 | 50% | +5.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (42)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · American 8 · Pizza 5 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Café 5 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany Airport Dounts, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open | |
| Amped Coffee House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 652 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Bentley's Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 12 Corporate Woods Blvd | open |
| Bernie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 515 Loudon Rd | open |
| Blu Stone Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 661 Albany Shaker Rd | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Albany Shaker Rd | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| D'Raymonds | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 269 Osborne Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 457 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | Albany International Airport, 337 | open |
| Dutch's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 462 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Eden Advisory Services Llc And Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 269 Osborne Rd Ste 3 | open | |
| Frank's Ice Cream and Restaurant | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | American · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 496 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Genoa Importing Co. | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 435 Loudon Rd | open |
| Green Leafs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Hilton Garden Inn - Great American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 800 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Hudson Valley Wine Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open | |
| Inferno Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 496 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Kitchen Table Subs Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 265 Osborne Rd | open | |
| Lagonias To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 402 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Lanie's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 471 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 256 Osborne Rd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | ALB Airport | open | |
| Mr. Subb Mr. Subb | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1585 469 Albany Shaker Rd #2 | open |
| Pearl of the Orient | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 471 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Peppy D's Cafe | Café | Greek · Coffee · Breakfast | 20 Corporate Woods Blvd | open |
| Romanteac Bubble Tea Dessert | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 260 Osborne Rd | open |
| Scoups Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 566 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Scrimshaw Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 660 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Simpson's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 660 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 475 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Stromboli's Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 462 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 265 Osborne Rd | open |
| The Coffee Beanery | Coffee shop | Coffee | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| The Local | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 737 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| The Poké Bar Poké Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Sushi · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 475 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Wired Coffee & Bagel | Coffee shop | Coffee | 652 Albany Shaker Rd | open |
| Wrap Shop (Siena College) | Quick service | 515 Loudon Rd | open | |
| Eden Cafe | Café | Coffee | 269 Osborne Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 36 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 28 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |