BMIE Market 12182

Rensselaer County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,867 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,092 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,781 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±433 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,733 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,900 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,984 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,991 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$212,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,677 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12182
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-29.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-15.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12182. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.2	56	40%	+22.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.5	40	35%	+14.2
Market Momentum Score	14.6	15	25%	+3.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,867	77	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	56,984	25	40%	+9.9
Households (ACS)	6,781	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-29.2	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.4	67	25%	+16.7
Population (ACS)	14,867	77	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	56,984	25	20%	+4.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.7	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	-29.2	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · Italian 4 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · American 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Quick service 9 · Bar 7 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Bellies	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	535 5th Ave	open
Buca Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	310 Oakwood Ave Unit B	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	849 Second Ave Riverside Plaza	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	310 A Oakwood Avenue	open
Dusenberry Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		18 Fogarty Rd, Troy, NY 12182-4301, United States	open
Fonz pizza Fresh Grille & Chicken Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	597 2nd Ave	open
Forty One Sports Bar and Grille	Bar · Casual dining		41 112th St	open
Galley And Grog	Bar		114th st	open
Germainia Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	309 3rd Ave	open
Germania Banquet Haus	Restaurant (service type not stated)		309 3rd Ave	open
Hog Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · BBQ	145 Haughney Rd	open
Hot Dog Charlie's Hot Dog Charlie's Cohoes	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	472 5th Ave	open
Jimmy's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	475 5th Ave	open
La Cocina De Kebrina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas		open
La Tlayuda Juquilita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	597 2nd Ave	open
Labello's Sports Pub	Bar		238 Fogarty Rd	open
Lansingburgh Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	469 5th Ave	open
Liberty Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	375 5th Ave	open
Mos Eisley Cantina	Bar · Quick service	Mexican	1 Milkyway Rd	open
Mr. Subb Mr. Subb	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	463 2nd Ave #2933	open
New Beijing Of Troy Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	849 2nd Ave	open
Oakwook Donuts Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		310 Oakwood Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	849 2nd Ave	open
Rustic Barn Pub	Bar		150 Speigletown Rd	open
Scoreboard Saloon	Bar		29 124th St	open
Slavonian European Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Northern Dr	open
Snowman	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	531 5th Ave	open
Spring Garden Sue Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		472 2nd Ave # A	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	849 2nd Ave	open
Sunny Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	30-40 125th St	open
Super Wings & Philly	Quick service		4 Northern Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Ted's Fish Fry	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	350 2nd Ave	open
Testo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	853 4th Ave	open
The Empire Lounge518	Bar		443 5th Ave	open
Trader Eds	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	630 2nd Ave	open
Troy 5 Star Food Mart Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		380 5th Ave	open
Verdile's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	572 2nd Ave	open
Zekko Japanese Steak House & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 Northern Dr	open
Cafe Caliente Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		610 2nd Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	20	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	29	24	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	29	22	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	27	18	10	6	2	7	NAICS1997
1999	27	17	9	6	2	6	NAICS1997
2000	23	14	8	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2001	21	12	7	4	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	27	18	8	10	—	6	NAICS1997
2003	26	17	9	8	—	6	NAICS2002
2004	23	14	7	7	—	6	NAICS2002
2005	22	14	8	6	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	32	23	11	11	1	5	NAICS2002
2007	28	20	7	11	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	30	22	6	13	3	5	NAICS2007
2009	30	22	6	13	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	30	23	7	13	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	34	25	10	11	4	3	NAICS2007
2012	31	21	9	8	4	4	NAICS2012
2013	32	24	10	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	32	25	10	12	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	29	22	9	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	30	22	7	12	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	34	26	10	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	22	8	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	23	8	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	20	5	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	21	6	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	25	19	5	11	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	17	5	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12182. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12121	2.9 mi	1	2001
12188	3.7 mi	6	2023
12180	3.9 mi	136	2023
12183	4.9 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.