BMIE Market 12442

Greene County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	953 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$36,912 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,831 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	62.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,059 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$436,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72,261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12442
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	73.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-55.6% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-55.6% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	1 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2006–2016 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	10 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	16 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	8 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	5 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12442. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2006–2016, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	16.1	16	40%	+6.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	7.6	8	35%	+2.7
Market Momentum Score	5.2	5	25%	+1.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	537	22	40%	+8.9
Median household income (ACS)	36,912	5	40%	+1.9
Households (ACS)	274	27	20%	+5.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 8 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-55.6	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	74.5	6	25%	+1.5
Population (ACS)	537	22	20%	+4.5
Median household income (ACS)	36,912	5	20%	+0.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 5 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-55.6	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-55.6	2	20%	+0.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar Charlie at Hunter Mt.	Bar		7740 Main St	open
Coppertree Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	Baselodge Hwy	open
Fellow Mountain Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	7883 Main St	open
Gulf	Coffee shop	Coffee	7582 Main St	open
Hunter Mountain Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	American	7267 NY-23A	open
Hunter Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		7433 Main St	open
Ike's Tavern	Bar		7722 Main St	open
M&J Bagel Store Bakery Deli Cafe	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	7740 Main St	open
Mama's Pizza Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Pizza	7921 Main St	open
Peking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7740 Main St	open
Ronnie Mac Gregor's Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	7740 NY-23A	open
The Bar at Hunter	Bar		Route 23a	open
The Copper Tree	Casual dining · Bar		64 Klein Ave	open
Van Winkles Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	62 Liftside Dr	open
Ze Wine Bar at Jägerberg Beer Hall and Alpine Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	German / Eastern European	7722 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	8	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	7	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	2	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	7	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	7	4	1	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12442. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12444	2.8 mi	1	2000
12439	3.9 mi	4	2023
12485	4.4 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.