BMIE Market 12803

Saratoga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±534 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,115 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,567 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,272 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,811 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,211 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$231,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12803
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.1 per year, r² 0.88) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12803. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.88, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.3	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.4	45	35%	+15.9
Market Momentum Score	21.5	22	25%	+5.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,712	70	40%	+28.1
Median household income (ACS)	82,057	65	40%	+25.9
Households (ACS)	4,115	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.3	67	25%	+16.8
Population (ACS)	9,712	70	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	82,057	65	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.4	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 7 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbott's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	41 Main St	open
Anchor Beverage Center	Brewery / taproom · Bar		73 Saratoga Ave	open
Angelina's 3	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	Saratoga Rd	open
Big Poppys Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5 Marine Dr	open
Brando's Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Jacobie Rd	open
Cakes by Kate	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	50 2nd St	open
China Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	38 Main St	open
Clough'd 37	Bar		26 Wynnefield Dr	open
Coach's Corner Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Breakfast	22 Hudson Falls Rd	open
Common Roots Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		58 Saratoga Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	95 Saratoga Ave	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee	66-70 Main St Hess	open
Glens Falls Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	131 Saratoga Ave Ste 7	open
Hayes & Hayes Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		297 Saratoga Ave	open
House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	133 Saratoga Ave	open
Humbuggs	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		139 Saratoga Ave	open
Jam 'N' Eggs	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	31 Main St	open
Lam Fong Yuen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	133 Saratoga Ave	open
Massie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	69 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	111 Main Street	open
Mi Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	23 Main St	open
Mr Bill's Carhop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1720 US-9	open
O'Malley's Log Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	35 Main St	open
Pa's Pistols	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	14 Castle Rd	open
Peppermill Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	110 Main St	open
SGF Family Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1737 US-9	open
Sgf Methodist Church Day Nursery-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Maplewood Pkwy	open
Sorrentino's Delicatessen and Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	40 Main St	open
South Side Bistro	Quick service	American	31 Main St	open
SOUTHY'S PIZZERIA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	92 Saratoga Ave	open
Squires Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		71 Saratoga Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	Subway	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	137 Saratoga Ave	open
Sweet Frog South Glens Falls	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	133 Saratoga Ave Ste 4	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	13	10	7	2	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	6	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	12	9	7	1	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	8	6	1	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	11	8	5	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	5	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	12	7	4	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	16	11	7	3	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	19	14	8	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	21	16	9	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	20	19	10	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	13	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	9	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	20	12	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	20	19	11	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12803. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12801	1.7 mi	47	2023
12804	4.2 mi	67	2023
12828	4.3 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.