BMIE Market 12828

Washington County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,230 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±705 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,448 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,921 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,110 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$226,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,074 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12828
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-21.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 7–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12828. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.5	64	40%	+25.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.0	46	35%	+16.1
Market Momentum Score	30.4	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,230	70	40%	+27.9
Median household income (ACS)	76,019	57	40%	+22.7
Households (ACS)	3,664	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	9,230	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	76,019	57	20%	+11.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Casual dining 9 · Bar 7 · Café 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelina's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	165 Broadway	open
Anvil Inn Restaurant	Bar	Steakhouse · American	67 Broadway	open
Blimpie	Other · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Sandwiches · Coffee · Dessert	411 Reynolds Rd	open
Blockhouse Pub & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		132 Broadway	open
Broadway Family Diner and Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	70 Broadway	open
Country Diner	Casual dining	American	134 Broadway	open
Dango Fitzgerald's Irish Restaurant & Sports Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1393 US-9	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	Upper Broadway	open
fiend coffeeworks	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	71 East St	open
Fort Edward Express Co., Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1402 Route 9	open
Fort Edward Station	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	70 E and Rogers St	open
Grumbellies	Casual dining	Pizza · Sandwiches · American	159 Broadway	open
Havarest Farm Brewery	Brewery / taproom		1695 W River Rd	open
Hope & Nena's Riverview Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	134 Broadway	open
Kerrie's Northway Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	70 Broadway	open
M & M Wheeler Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		67 Broadway	open
Mamma's Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	134 Broadway	open
McCrea Tavern	Bar		64 McCrea St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	364 Broadway	open
Playroom Bar 88 Butler Road, Moreau, New York.	Bar		88 Butler Rd	open
Rookies Cookies and Creme	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	324 Broadway	open
Scrappys	Casual dining	American	215 Broadway	open
Slickfin Brewing Company LLC	Brewery / taproom · Bar		147 Broadway	open
Stinky’s Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1377 US-9	open
Stumpy's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	165 Broadway	open
Sushi Wa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	368 Broadway	open
The Halftime Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	1498 US-9	open
Wallace Supply Co Inc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1434 Route 9	open
Winners Gourmet Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	46 Reynolds Rd	open
Ye Old Fort Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11 East St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	9	5	1	3	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	9	5	1	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	15	10	5	2	3	4	NAICS1997
2001	16	12	5	3	4	3	NAICS1997
2002	15	11	6	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	15	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	11	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	4	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	11	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12828. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12803	4.3 mi	11	2023
12809	4.5 mi	3	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.