BMIE Market 13031

Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±821 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,255 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±384 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,551 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,730 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,224 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,345 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$218,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,007 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13031
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+38.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+107.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 31–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13031. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.8	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.4	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	72.1	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,285	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	88,224	72	40%	+28.6
Households (ACS)	7,255	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	38.1	76	35%	+26.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.8	43	25%	+10.8
Population (ACS)	16,285	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	88,224	72	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.4	64	50%	+32.2
10-year restaurant growth	38.1	76	30%	+22.9
20-year restaurant growth	107.1	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 10 · Dessert 8 · Coffee 6 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 9 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Other 2 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adelita's Mexican Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5241 Genesee St	open
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5241 W Genesee St	open
Azteca Mexican Grill Azteca Mexican Restaurants	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3783 Milton Ave	open
Bbmm Operating, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3263 Howlett Hill Rd	open
Boom Boom Mex Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3263 Howlett Hill Rd	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	200 Township Blvd., Suite 40 Ste. 40 Township 5	open
Bulfinch Taphouse and Bistro	Casual dining · Bar		200 Township Blvd	open
Cam's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	112 Kasson Rd	open
Camillus Donuts, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5268 W Genesee St	open
Charlee's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	112 Kasson Rd	open
CoreLife Eatery CoreLife Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	3571 W Genesee St	open
Daler & Son Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Township Blvd Ste 10	open
Denny's	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	5300 W Genesee St	open
Doc's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	3797 Milton Ave	open
Doc's Pizzeria & Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3797 Milton Ave	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2052 W Genesee Turnpike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	5300 W. Genesee St	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5308 West Genesee St	open
Freedom of Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	54 W Genesee St	open
Gilfillan's West Hill Catering Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2476 W Genesee Tpke	open
Green Gate Inn	Bar · Casual dining		2 W Genesee St	open
Il forno Brick Oven Pizza	Quick service	Pizza	5600 Newport Road	open
Indian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	200 Township Blvd	open
Inn Between Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2290 W Genesee Tpke	open
Jreck Subs	Other	Sandwiches	5401 W Genesee St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5301 W Genesee St	open
Krabby Kirk's Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	55 Genesee St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	100 Kasson Rd Ste 5	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	140 Township Blvd	open
LWB Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	72 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5288 W Genesee St	open
McNamaras Pub	Bar		5600 Newport Rd	open
Mitsuba Mitsuba Ithaca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	174 Township Blvd #10	open
Mo's Pit BBQ & The Newport Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	103 Bennett Rd	open
Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	5256 West Genesee Street	open
Nick's Pizzeria & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	64 Main St	open
Norbrand Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2290 W Genesee Tpke	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	120 Township Blvd,	open
Red Robin Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	160 Township Blvd	open
Second Chance Diner	Casual dining	American	5407 W Genesee St	open
Shanghai Garden Usa Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 Kasson Rd	open
Shanghai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	112 Kasson Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5241 W Genesee St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	174 Township Blvd Ste 30	open
Sugar Pine Cake Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	109 Arch Stone Way	open
Sweet Frog sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	190 Township Blvd	open
sweetFrog sweetFrog	Dessert	Dessert	190 Township Blvd	open
Teriyaki Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	200 Township Blvd #10	open
The Brasserie Bar & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Township Blvd Ste 20	open
The Camillus Grill	Casual dining · Bar		72 W Genesee St	open
The Florence Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	6117 Newport Rd	open
The Mixing Bowl	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · American	103 Bennett Rd	open
The Queen Bee Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	100 Kasson Rd	open
The Wildcat	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	3680 Milton Ave	open
TK on the Hill	Bar		3855 Split Rock Rd	open
Tk Tavern	Bar		5600 Newport Rd	open
Toss & Fire (Camillus) Toss & Fire Wood-Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	190 Township Blvd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5308 W Genesee St	open
Twin Trees	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5401 W Genesee St	open
Uncle Mike's Hometown Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3700 Milton Ave	open
Vietnamese Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	3801 Milton Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5399 W Genesee St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5309 W. Genesee Street	open
Woodmont Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Lucky Macaroni Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5633 W Genesee St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	25	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	24	19	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	21	17	10	7	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	22	18	10	8	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	23	18	12	6	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	21	17	9	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	22	17	9	7	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	18	14	6	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	19	13	5	8	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	8	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	24	21	10	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	24	20	9	10	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	24	20	8	10	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	25	21	8	10	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	28	22	9	11	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	29	23	10	11	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	27	21	8	11	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	28	21	7	11	3	4	NAICS2012
2014	28	20	7	11	2	5	NAICS2012
2015	32	25	11	13	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	32	26	11	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	34	28	11	17	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	33	27	11	15	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	33	28	12	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	33	27	13	12	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	33	27	10	14	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	36	30	11	14	4	4	NAICS2022
2023	35	29	12	12	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13031. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13164	3.6 mi	3	2022
13219	4.2 mi	41	2023
13209	4.3 mi	21	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.