BMIE Market 13209
Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±742 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,876 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±369 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,243 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,104 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $68,138 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,882 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $161,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13209 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -19.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -4.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 14 (range 8–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13209. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 62.6 | 63 | 40% | +25.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 40.5 | 41 | 35% | +14.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 45.3 | 45 | 25% | +11.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,714 | 74 | 40% | +29.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 68,138 | 44 | 40% | +17.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,876 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.2 | 14 | 35% | +5.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.5 | 47 | 25% | +11.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,714 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 68,138 | 44 | 20% | +8.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 75 | 50% | +37.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.2 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -4.6 | 19 | 20% | +3.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 14 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 14 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Specialty food shop 4 · Other 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Touch of Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2409 Milton Ave | open |
| ashley lynn winery kiosk | Winery / distillery / taproom | open | ||
| Bella Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 904 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Bianchi's Pizza Pad &pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2623 Milton Ave | open |
| Bosco's Village Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 201 Cogswell Ave | open | |
| Bridge Street Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 109 Bridge St | open | |
| Carnival Rides and Treats Syracuse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | N. Geddes | open | |
| Central New York Brewfest | Brewery / taproom · Bar | Cayuga Ave | open | |
| Clinton Street Pub | Bar | American | 404 Darrow Ave | open |
| Cluck n Seafood & Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Burgers · American | 7201 Jones Rd | open |
| Coca-Cola Bottling Company Coca-Cola | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 298 Farrell Rd | open | |
| Corso's Cookies | Dessert | Dessert | 314 Lakeside Rd | open |
| Crave Dessert Studio | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 314 Lakeside Rd | open |
| Danny D's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | New York State Fairgrounds, 581 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Deli-boy Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 100 Matthews Ave | open |
| Dinosaur BBQ at the NYS Fair | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | Empire Expo Center, 581 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 299 Farrell Rd | open |
| Fair Deli Craft Beer | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar | Sandwiches | 757 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Fair Food Fest Carnival | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 581 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Fried Specialties | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | Toyota Coliseum, Mohegan St | open |
| Fritz's POOL ROOM | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 Curtiss Ave | open | |
| Gracie's Kitchen | Casual dining | American | 527 Charles Ave | open |
| Greg's Pizzeria | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 2201 Milton Ave, 2201 Milton Ave | open |
| H & K Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7252 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Haddocks Paddock | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Restaurant Row, 581 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Hoosey's Dog House | Bar | 108 Williams St | open | |
| Jammer's Sports Bar & Restaurant | Dessert · Bar · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3535 Walters Rd | open |
| JessiCakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 7246 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Joey’s Ice Cream Shoppe in Solvay | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1623 Milton Ave | open |
| Johnny Mac's Pizzeria & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 894 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Kiki’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 2909 Milton Ave | open | |
| Lakeland Mini Mart: Subs & Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Other | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 915 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Lakeland Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 877 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Lamont Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 108 Lamont Ave | open | |
| Lucky 7 food | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 7245 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Marcellas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 100 Farrell Rd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 107 7th St | open | |
| Meme's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 764 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Mikey's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1717 Milton Ave | open | |
| Milk Bun | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 581 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Mo' Dough | Bakery | Bakery | 527 Charles Ave | open |
| New York Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2281 Milton Ave | open |
| New York Bakery fresh | Bakery | Bakery · Pizza | 306 Lakeside Rd | open |
| PZO's Nys Fair | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Cheyenne St | open |
| Quaker Steak & Lube | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 3535 Walters Rd | open |
| Rainbow Milk Bar | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | open | |
| Ranchers Choice Ny Bbq & Steakhouse, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 779 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Sam's Chicken Land | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 527 Charles Ave | open |
| Sardo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7250-7252 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Shuffles Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Pizza · American | 670 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Sideline Sports Cafe | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7201 Jones Rd | open |
| Solvay Scoops & Hot Dogs Too | Food truck · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs | 2211 Milton Ave | open |
| Strada Mia Sports Bar & Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1200 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 759 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Suds Factory Courtside Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 581 State Fair Blvd | open |
| SX Hookah Lounge | Bar | 1441 Milton Ave | open | |
| Tha Spot Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 7249 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| The Galley Holding Co. | Bar | 2390 Milton Ave | open | |
| Timber Tavern | Bar | 7153 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Utica Coffee at the New York State Fair | Café | Coffee | 581 State Fair Blvd | open |
| Villa Pizze Fritte | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | Cayuga Ave | open |
| Wally's Belvedere | Casual dining · Bar | American | 863 State Fair Blvd | open |
| WEST END BAR at NYS Fair | Bar | 581 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Wine & Spirits | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7252 State Fair Blvd | open | |
| Ernie's Lakeland Cafe | Casual dining | American | Statefair Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 29 | 21 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 29 | 22 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 19 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 22 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 32 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 11 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 23 | 11 | 12 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 40 | 26 | 12 | 14 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 40 | 26 | 12 | 14 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 22 | 10 | 12 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 10 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |