BMIE Market 13039
Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,951 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±887 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,537 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,805 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $107,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,617 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $247,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 23.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13039 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 23.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -11.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +9.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +51.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +161.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 51 (range 45–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13039. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.4 | 81 | 40% | +32.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.1 | 57 | 35% | +20.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 38.3 | 38 | 25% | +9.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,951 | 79 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 107,500 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,000 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.3 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 27.7 | 23 | 25% | +5.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,951 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 107,500 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -11.3 | 18 | 50% | +8.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.3 | 53 | 30% | +16.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 51.6 | 68 | 20% | +13.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (93)
By cuisine
American 15 · Coffee 14 · Pizza 13 · Sandwiches 10 · Chicken / wings 8 · Burgers 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Italian 6 · Mexican 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Dessert 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 21 · Bar 9 · Café 9 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5886 Route 31 | open |
| Borio's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 8891 McDonnells Pkwy | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar | American · Chicken / wings | 8063 Brewerton Rd Ste 2 | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5671 E Circle Dr Ste 300 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7831 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Calm Waters Cafe | Café | Coffee | 6696 Lakeshore Rd | open |
| Carmelita's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6195 State Route 31 | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 7916 Brewerton Rd | open |
| China Chen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6197 NY-31 Unit 2 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7944 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Cicero Country Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8292 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Cicero Donuts Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5865 State Route 31 | open | |
| Cicero Twin Rinks Bar | Bar | 5575 Meltzer Ct | open | |
| Cloud Nine Creamery and Cafe | Dessert · Café | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 8202 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 8400 Pardee Rd. I-81 & SR 31 | open |
| Crepe Delicious Urban Cafe Crepe Delicious UAE | Café · Dessert | Breakfast · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 8063 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Dave's Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7915 Brewerton Rd | open |
| DeLima Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8550 Pardee Rd | open |
| Denny's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7873 Brewerton Road | open | |
| Dolce Nail Spa Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8319 Brewerton Rd | open | |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Burgers | 7984 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5865 State Route 31 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 8064 Brewerton Road | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6166 South Bay Rd | open |
| Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7785 Frontage Rd | open | |
| Eskapes | Brewery / taproom | 6257 State Route 31 | open | |
| Franks Plank Road Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8350 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Germania Service Group, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6777 Lakeshore Rd | open | |
| Gibar Tully's Good Times | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | 7838 Brewerton Rd | open | |
| Gino & Joe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5909 State Route 31 | open |
| Hall Island Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6665 Island Rd | open | |
| Hart’s Cafe & Deli | Specialty food shop · Café · Quick service | Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 5962 NY-31 | open |
| Hart’s Cafe’ & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 5962 NY-31 | open |
| Hotd Coffee And Kitchen Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5962 State Route 31 Ste 13 | open | |
| Ink Corner Cafe | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5590 NY-31 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7903 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5785 E Circle Dr | open |
| JRECK Subs JRECK Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8097 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Kenziee's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6257 NY-31 | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7900 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Kim's Family Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8319 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Kurimanka | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 8120 Brewerton Rd | open |
| La Taqueria Mexican Fusion Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6195 State Route 31 | open | |
| Lakeshore Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6969 Lakeshore Rd | open |
| Liberty's Food and Fish Fry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 6972 Lakeshore Rd | open |
| Losurdo's Cucina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 6166 South Bay Rd | open |
| Made In Medina Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7916 Brewerton Rd | open | |
| Mark's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5962 State Route 31 | open |
| Masala Heaven Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Indian | 7785C Frontage Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5879 Rt 31 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7893 Brewerton Road | open |
| McDonald's Play Place | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5849 E Circle Dr | open |
| Mighty Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7789 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 5663 East Circle Drive | open |
| Mr. Ciao | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 2945 Veterans Rd W | open |
| Nutrition Wave | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 6197 NY-31 | open |
| Paladino's Cicero Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8154 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5663 E Circle Dr | open |
| Papa John's Papa John's | Quick service | 7985 BREWERTON RD | open | |
| Pepsi Cicero Ny | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 8478 Pardee Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7801 US-11 | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8061 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Plainville Farms Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8450 Brewerton Rd | open | |
| Pop It Up, Llc Dba The Kandied Kernel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5962 State Route 31 | open | |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7980 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Rancho Viejo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Steakhouse | 5909 NY-31 | open |
| Sake Bomb | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8081 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Sal's Birdland Cicero Sal's Birdland & Sassy Sauce | Quick service | Chicken / wings | 8140 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Sapori By Antonio Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5962 NY-31 | open |
| Sardo's Pizza and Fish Fry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food · Pizza | 6195 New York 31, Ste 15 | open |
| Scoops Ice Cream Shoppe | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8202 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 8061 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7918 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Stone's Lakeside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 8891 McDonnells Pkwy | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 8064 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 6197 State Route 31 | open |
| sweetFrog | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8063 Brewerton Road, Ste 3 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 7881 Brewerton Rd | open |
| The Lakeside Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6727 Lakeshore Rd | open |
| The Brick House Cafe | Café | Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5885 Cir Dr E | open |
| The Chickadee | Casual dining | American | 8140 Route 11 | open |
| The Chicken Bandit | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 6070 Donnybrook Dr | open |
| Thee Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 6043 NY-31 | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee | 7987 Brewerton Road | open |
| Twin Trees Cicero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 6259 State Route 31 | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 8064 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5701 E. Circle Drive | open |
| Wild Mixx Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 8140 Brewerton Rd | open |
| William's Ice Cream Stand | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery · American | 6545 State Route 31 | open |
| Willow Rock Brewing Company - Cicero | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 6200 S Bay Rd | open |
| Wysocki's Lake Park Manor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6574 Lakeshore Rd | open | |
| Yummy China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 8097 Brewerton Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7983 Brewerton Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 26 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 34 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 35 | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 48 | 41 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 47 | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 49 | 43 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 46 | 41 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 37 | 14 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 41 | 38 | 13 | 19 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 43 | 17 | 20 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 52 | 47 | 16 | 25 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 49 | 45 | 13 | 28 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 52 | 47 | 15 | 27 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 53 | 48 | 17 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 58 | 53 | 18 | 26 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 58 | 52 | 17 | 27 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 51 | 46 | 16 | 24 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 50 | 47 | 14 | 25 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 50 | 47 | 14 | 23 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 47 | 14 | 21 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |