BMIE Market 13057
Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,253 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±726 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,376 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,992 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,828 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $80,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,023 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $169,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 27.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13057 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 24.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -6.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -32.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -35.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -9.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.6 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 71.2 | 71 | 40% | +28.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 40.4 | 40 | 35% | +14.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 15.4 | 15 | 25% | +3.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,253 | 76 | 40% | +30.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,900 | 63 | 40% | +25.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,376 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -32.6 | 10 | 35% | +3.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.4 | 36 | 25% | +9.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,253 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,900 | 63 | 20% | +12.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -6.5 | 21 | 50% | +10.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -32.6 | 10 | 30% | +3.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -35.6 | 8 | 20% | +1.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (81)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Italian 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Bakery 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 15 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 14 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Catering 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 East First St. Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 320 E 1st St | open | |
| Al's Village Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Seafood · American | 508 W Manlius St | open |
| Ali Baba 24/7 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6378 Thompson Rd | open | |
| All Night Eggplant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee | 5781 Bridge St | open |
| Barbagallo's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6344 E Molloy Rd | open | |
| Belhurst Estate Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | open | ||
| Brad's Extra Innings | Bar · Casual dining | 200 Highland Ave | open | |
| Broadway Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6812 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Bull & Bear Roadhouse and Catering Bull & Bear Roadhouse | Casual dining · Bar | 6402 Collamer Rd | open | |
| Caboose Inn | Casual dining · Bar | American | 628 W Manlius St | open |
| Chengtu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6430 Kirkville Rd #2056 | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5761 Celi Dr | open |
| Creole Soul Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5980 Butternut Dr | open |
| Crossroads Tavern | Bar | 7119 Minoa Bridgeport Rd | open | |
| DiBella's Subs DiBella's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 5805 Bridge St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 6438 Basile Rowe | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 4 Chevy Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7043 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6360 E Taft Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6681 Collamer Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 6438 Basile Rowe Store 2166 | open |
| El Mezquite de Luna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6677 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Ellie May’s Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 508 W Manlius St | open |
| Empire Pizza And Deli Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Pizza | 6812 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Farmer Brothers | Coffee shop | Coffee | 6838 Ellicott Dr | open |
| Flavor Of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 6812 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Gofman's Grille | Other | Sandwiches | 6677 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Golden Spike Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 411 W Manlius St | open | |
| Goodfellas Pizza of Dewitt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5980 Butternut Dr | open |
| Greenwood Winery LLC | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6475 Collamer Rd | open | |
| Grimaldi's Luna Park Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6430 Yorktown Cir | open | |
| Guadalajara's Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 325 W Manlius St | open |
| Hercules Candy Company | Dessert | Dessert | 720 W Manlius St | open |
| Highland Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 208 Highland Ave | open | |
| JD's Fish N' Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 6812 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6570 Weighlock Dr | open |
| John & Sons Fly Road Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 6636 Fly Rd | open |
| Justin's Tuscan Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 6400 Yorktown Cir | open |
| Kostas Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 225 E Manlius St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 307 W Manlius St | open |
| Manilus St Sy Lc Llc - Oc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 307 W Manlius St | open | |
| Manny's Cafe Restaurant | Café | Coffee | 207 W Manlius St | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 290 E Manlius St | open | |
| Mi Rancho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6677 Manlius Center Rd | open | |
| Nick's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6380 Thompson Rd | open |
| Nino's DeWitt Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5980 Butternut Dr | open |
| Pavone's Pizza & Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5781 Bridge St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 570 Kinne St Onondaga | open |
| Redwood Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 121 E Manlius St | open |
| Rhonda C. Frisby | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2909 Plainfield Avenue | open | |
| Rico's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 320 E 1st St | open |
| Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6405 Yorktown Cir | open |
| Sandy & Sons | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 201 E Manlius St | open |
| Sea Food Corner | Quick service | 2916 Oak Street | open | |
| Seasons Tavern | Bar | 638 NY-298 | open | |
| Seasons Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 6301 State Route 298 | open |
| Serres Donut Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 135 W Manlius St | open |
| Sharp's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5000 Brittonfield Pkwy | open | |
| Skippy's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 101 Johnson St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6430 Kirkville Rd | open |
| Sweet Indulgence Dessert Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 119 E 2nd St | open | |
| That Crazy Cake Chick | Bakery | Bakery | 303 Sunset Dr | open |
| The Beginning II | Bar · Casual dining | American | 6897 Manlius Center Rd | open |
| The Hive Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 226 Old Bridge St Ste A | open |
| Trapper's | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 5950 Butternut Dr | open |
| Traps Tavern in the Clubhouse | Bar | 7480 Myers Rd | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5761 Celi Dr | open |
| Tully's Good Times | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1 Technology Pl Ste 1 | open |
| Twin Trees | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 102 W Manlius St | open |
| Twins Gourmet Coffee, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5000 Brittonfield Pkwy | open | |
| Ultra Dairy | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 6750 Benedict Rd | open | |
| Umi Sushi and Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4 Chevy Dr | open |
| Underground Beer Lab | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 7000 Airways Park Dr | open | |
| Ups Hub Syracuse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6975 Northern Blvd | open | |
| Village Deli | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 325 W Manlius St | open |
| Vito's Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 320 E 1st St | open |
| Walmart Deli | Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service | Sandwiches · Bakery | 6510 Basile Rowe | open |
| Wild Goose Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 6004 Fair Lakes Rd | open | |
| William's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Corner of RT 298 and Taft Rd | open | |
| Paula's At Wanoa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6920 Minoa Bridgeport Rd | closed | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4 Chevy Dr | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 36 | 32 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 28 | 26 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 23 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 40 | 35 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 41 | 32 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 39 | 32 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 40 | 31 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 42 | 34 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 47 | 38 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 55 | 45 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 53 | 42 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 52 | 41 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 51 | 40 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 58 | 42 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 50 | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 49 | 34 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 53 | 37 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 53 | 37 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 50 | 40 | 19 | 18 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 54 | 43 | 19 | 20 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 53 | 41 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 53 | 39 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 36 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 51 | 35 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 47 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 48 | 31 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 43 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 11 | — | 9 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 45 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 9 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 9 | NAICS2022 |