BMIE Market 13211

Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,111 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,556 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,517 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,820 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,163 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$121,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13211
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-26.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13211. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.1	55	40%	+22.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.5	54	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	43.9	44	25%	+11.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,111	64	40%	+25.4
Median household income (ACS)	66,724	42	40%	+16.7
Households (ACS)	2,556	65	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	6,111	64	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	66,724	42	20%	+8.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	-8.3	17	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All in One Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	302 Malden Rd	open
Balamont Cafe & Catering	Café	Coffee	5858 E Molloy Rd	open
Cam-Nel	Bar		2227 Brewerton Rd	open
Dee's Diner	Casual dining	American	1900 Brewerton Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2723 Brewerton Rd Expressmart	open
Hayati Grill Mediterranean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	2810 Lemoyne Ave	open
Hms Host Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6712 Brooklawn Pkwy Ste 206	open
Home Base	Bar		2803 Brewerton Rd	open
King Seafood Restaurant \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chinese · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2204 Brewerton Rd	open
Mac S Bad Art Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1799 Brewerton Rd	open
Middle Ages Pub At Syracuse International Airport	Bar			open
Nakhin Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2822 Lemoyne Ave	open
OIP-Original Italian Pizza Original Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2230 Brewerton Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2275 Brewerton Rd,	open
Rock Garage	Bar		6739 Pickard Dr	open
Sunshine's Coffee Shop	Casual dining · Coffee shop	American · Coffee · Breakfast	6760 Thompson Rd	open
Thai Love NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2822 Lemoyne Ave	open
The Cookie Connection	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	2803 Brewerton Rd	open
The Cookie Connection Gluten Free Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	2803 Brewerton Rd	open
Three Romans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2810 Lemoyne Ave	open
Town Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		2119 Brewerton Rd	open
Westcott Coffee Company Llc Recess Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	114 Boss Rd	open
Woody's Jerkwater Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	2803 Brewerton Rd	open
X Crispy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2275 Brewerton Rd	open
Zebb's Deluxe Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2803 Brewerton Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	18	11	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	17	9	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	20	9	4	4	1	9	NAICS1997
1999	16	9	5	3	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	18	10	4	4	2	7	NAICS1997
2001	15	8	4	3	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	19	10	5	4	1	8	NAICS1997
2003	21	12	5	7	—	8	NAICS2002
2004	19	10	3	6	—	8	NAICS2002
2005	20	11	5	6	—	8	NAICS2002
2006	19	11	5	6	—	7	NAICS2002
2007	19	11	4	7	—	7	NAICS2002
2008	17	7	3	3	—	8	NAICS2007
2009	19	11	3	7	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	21	12	4	6	—	7	NAICS2007
2011	18	9	4	5	—	6	NAICS2007
2012	19	10	4	6	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	15	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	15	8	4	4	—	5	NAICS2012
2015	16	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	16	11	5	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	17	13	6	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	16	11	4	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	15	10	4	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	14	9	5	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	13	8	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	14	10	4	4	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	5	3	3	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13211. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13212	1.8 mi	57	2023
13208	2.1 mi	29	2023
13206	2.2 mi	45	2023
13203	3.0 mi	12	2023
13290	3.6 mi	11	2023
13088	3.6 mi	33	2023
13057	4.1 mi	29	2023
13202	4.4 mi	63	2023
13224	4.5 mi	21	2023
13204	4.6 mi	47	2023
13214	4.8 mi	41	2023
13210	5.0 mi	69	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.