BMIE Market 13108

Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,093 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±516 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,175 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,557 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,999 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$243,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13108
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 1–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13108. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.4	69	40%	+27.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.2	49	35%	+17.2
Market Momentum Score	13.2	13	25%	+3.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,093	64	40%	+25.4
Median household income (ACS)	94,327	77	40%	+30.8
Households (ACS)	2,767	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	35%	+4.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	6,093	64	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	94,327	77	20%	+15.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-36.4	8	50%	+3.8
10-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
315 Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	24 W Main St	open
Bad Batch Bakery and Brews	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	15 North St	open
Chocolate Pizza Company	Dessert	Dessert	3774 Lee-Mulroy Rd	open
Daniel's Grill	Casual dining · Bar		69 North St	open
Gretchen's Confections and Cafe	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	4 E Main St	open
Holy Cow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	3 North St	open
Mad4sax Brewery	Brewery / taproom		2757 Howlett Hill Rd	open
Milk House Roastery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4654 NW Townline Rd	open
Milkhouse Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	2574 Cherry Valley Turnpike	open
Moondance Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	2512 Cherry Valley Turnpike	open
Navarino Outback	Quick service	Steakhouse		open
North Street Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3 North St	open
Papas Express Marcellus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	18 W Main St	open
Restaurant Profit Systems	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4291 Slate Hill Rd	open
Riseform Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		19 North St Front	open
Sono Pizza And Pasta Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18 W Main St	open
Spg Planning And Production Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2901 Howlett Hill Rd	open
Stone Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	69 North St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	19 North St	open
The Chocolate Pizza Co.	Dessert	Dessert	3774 Lee Mulroy Rd	open
The Ice Cream Sandwich	Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service · Coffee shop · Café	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	2 E Main St	open
The Village Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		6 E Main St	open
Valley Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2574 Cherry Valley Tpke	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	13	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	13	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	14	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13108. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13152	4.8 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.