BMIE Market 13152

Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,352 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,941 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,211 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,324 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$461,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	63.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13152
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+6.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13152. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.8	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.4	45	35%	+15.9
Market Momentum Score	24.8	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,681	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	104,211	84	40%	+33.4
Households (ACS)	3,352	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-5.6	21	35%	+7.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.1	32	25%	+8.0
Population (ACS)	7,681	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	104,211	84	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.6	22	50%	+11.1
10-year restaurant growth	-5.6	21	30%	+6.2
20-year restaurant growth	6.3	38	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · European 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Dessert 9 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1820 House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		715 East Lake Road	open
Anyela's Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		2433 W Lake Rd	open
Black Angus Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3084 Rose Hill Rd	open
Byrne Dairy and Deli Byrne Dairy	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1387 E Genesee St	open
Byrne Dairy and Deli Byrne Dairy	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	38 Jordan St	open
Chez Dietz	Bar		2773 E Lake Rd	open
Clover's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	22 Jordan St	open
CNY Cars & Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	Skan-Ellus Drive in, 1659 US Route 20	open
Cream & Coffee	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	20 E Genesee St	open
Doug's Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · British / Irish pub food · American	8 Jordan St	open
Downtown Skaneateles	Bar			open
Elephant and The Dove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9 E Genesee St	open
Finger Lakes On Tap	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35 Fennell St	open
GOOD Eats & Sips	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	18 W Genesee St	open
Grammie's Pantry	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1126 Woodworth Rd	open
Heart'n Hand	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4463 State St	open
Hidden Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7 Fennell St	open
Hilltop Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	813 W Genesee Street Rd	open
Joelle's French Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	4423 State St	open
KaBuki of Skaneateles	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Japanese · Sushi	12 W Genesee St	open
King Ferry Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		22 Jordan St	open
LakeHouse Pub	Bar · Casual dining		6 W Genesee St	open
Last Shot Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		4022 Mill Rd	open
Mandana Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1937 W Lake Rd	open
Mike's Pizzeria Mark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1388 E Genesee St	open
Molly Hawkins Pub	Bar			open
Patisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4 Hannum St	open
Pomodoro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 E Genesee St	open
Potatoes and Molasses	Food truck · Catering		3351 Rickard Rd	open
Rhubarb Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		59 E Genesee St	open
Rosalie's Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	841 W Genesee Street Rd	open
Skan Ellus Drive in	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	E Genesee St	open
Skan Ellus Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1659 Cherry Valley Turnpike	open
Skaneateles Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	19 Jordan St	open
Skaneateles Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4022 Mill Rd	open
Skaneateles Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1388 US Route 20	open
Skaneateles Skoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	22 Jordan St	open
Sweetwater Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · American · Seafood	11 W Genesee St	open
The Cake Shop CNY	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	35 Fennell St	open
The Garage Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American · Pizza	28 Jordan St	open
The Krebs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	53 W Genesee St	open
Tsa Diner Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3981 Jordan Rd	open
Valentine's Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	18 W Genesee St	open
Vermont Green Mountain Specialty Co	Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	50 E Genesee St	open
Willow Glen Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	3981 Jordan Rd	open
Willowdale Bend	Bar		2080 Willowdale Rd	open
White Birch Vineyards Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		18 W Genesee St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	23	20	12	5	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	23	21	14	4	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	21	19	12	3	4	1	NAICS1997
2001	22	20	12	4	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	22	18	10	5	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	23	21	11	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	10	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	11	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	23	22	12	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	12	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	23	21	13	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	22	14	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	22	21	12	5	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	9	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	11	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	20	12	5	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	12	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	17	10	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	19	12	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	20	12	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	18	12	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	18	16	12	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	12	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13152. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13110	4.8 mi	3	2023
13108	4.8 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.