BMIE Market 13205

Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,201 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,693 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$38,497 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$993 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$99,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,847 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13205
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-47.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13205. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.4	50	40%	+20.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.4	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	40.6	41	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,137	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	38,497	5	40%	+2.1
Households (ACS)	7,402	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	35%	+18.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.8	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	19,137	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	38,497	5	20%	+1.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	30%	+16.2
20-year restaurant growth	-8.3	17	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · Pizza 5 · American 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Italian 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Casual dining 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Espresso Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	5917 S Salina St	open
Broadway Cafe & Arctic Island	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	210 W Seneca Tpke	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3930 South Salina Street	open
Cafe Sankofa Cooperative	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	2323 S Salina St	open
Chav's Soul Food Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2419 S Salina St	open
Chi'Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2859 S Salina St	open
Community Cafe South	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1551 S Salina St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3915 S Salina	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	977 E Brighton Ave	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	6020 S Salina St	open
G & X Sweet Creations	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4141 S Salina St	open
Jamaica Lick Finger Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	5957 S Salina St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1524 S Salina St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		2419 S Salina St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1410 South Salina Street	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	4018 S Salina St	open
Lou Jane Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4615 S Salina St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6105 S Salina	open
Ming Hing \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4141 S Salina St #7	open
Miss Gee's Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Breakfast	2819 Midland Ave	open
Occasion Food & Occasion D’Amerique	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	4141 S Salina St	open
Oip Nedrow	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	6131 S Salina St	open
Papas express sals	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6003 S Salina St	open
Pfohl's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		4604 S Salina St	open
Rooters Bar	Bar		4141 S Salina St	open
Sabatino's Pizza & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	121 Ballantyne Rd	open
Sal's Birdland Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4421 S Salina St	open
Seniora Pizza II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5846 S Salina St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	105 E Seneca Tpke	open
Sundaes Cool Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 W Seneca Tpke	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	962 E Brighton Ave	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	985 E Brighton Ave	open
Wings Over Syracuse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	4421 S Salina St	open
Alexa Donuts Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3919 S Salina St	closed
Flaming Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2711 S Salina St # 1	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	21	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	20	17	6	10	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	20	16	6	9	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	19	15	4	10	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	18	13	3	9	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	3	7	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	16	12	3	7	2	4	NAICS2002
2004	20	15	5	7	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	5	8	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	16	13	4	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	3	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	3	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	16	13	4	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	14	4	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	17	13	4	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	17	14	3	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	13	10	1	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	15	11	—	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	—	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	15	11	—	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	10	—	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	—	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	—	9	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	—	6	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13205. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13207	1.2 mi	6	2023
13244	1.6 mi	—
13210	2.0 mi	69	2023
13202	2.7 mi	63	2023
13224	3.1 mi	21	2023
13204	3.7 mi	47	2023
13203	3.9 mi	12	2023
13214	4.1 mi	41	2023
13120	4.3 mi	3	2023
13215	4.5 mi	9	2023
13290	4.7 mi	11	2023
13219	4.8 mi	41	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.