BMIE Market 14120

Niagara County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	44,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	19,584 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	45,100 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	20,022 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,024 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$954 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,248 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14120
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+2.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	57 (range 51–63) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14120. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.6	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.4	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	43.5	43	25%	+10.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	44,241	95	40%	+38.2
Median household income (ACS)	74,871	55	40%	+22.0
Households (ACS)	19,584	97	20%	+19.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	2	48	35%	+16.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	44,241	95	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	74,871	55	20%	+11.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	2	48	30%	+14.3
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (129)

By cuisine

American 26 · Coffee 20 · Pizza 15 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 11 · Italian 11 · Sandwiches 9 · Asian 6 · BBQ 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 4 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Burgers 2 · Greek 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Seafood 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Bar 31 · Quick service 20 · Casual dining 17 · Bakery 14 · Café 14 · Dessert 14 · Coffee shop 11 · Specialty food shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1818 Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1818 Sweeney St	open
Anastasia's Artisan Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	236 Zimmerman St	open
Anderson's Frozen Custard	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	537 Division St	open
Aunt Eno's Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	280 Oliver St	open
Aura Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3376 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Beijing Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	525 Division St	open
Betty's Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	215 Main St	open
Big Mack Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	452 Oliver St	open
Broadway Hotel	Casual dining · Bar		158 Main St	open
Buffalo Pizza Project	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1269 Erie Ave	open
Buffalo Wings and Brewhouse	Casual dining · Bar	American	653 Oliver St	open
Buffaloaves	Bakery	Bakery	110 Zimmerman St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	924 Payne Ave	open
Buttercream Creations - Buffalo	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1358 Harvard Ave	open
Canal Club 62	Bar	American	62 Webster St	open
Canalside Harbor 2013 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		153 Sweeney St	open
China Wok Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	983 Payne Ave	open
Clover Club	Bar		Oliver St	open
Coffee and Stone	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	54 Webster St	open
Country Cottage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4072 Beach Ridge Rd	open
Crazy Jakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Webster St	open
Crickett Tavern	Bar · Café	Coffee	1103 Erie Ave	open
Dan Dan The Hot Dog Man Doggie Drive In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	3466 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Del's Got Bread	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	4127 Beach Ridge Rd	open
District 37 Kitchen & Taphouse	Casual dining · Bar	American	110 Sweeney St	open
Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	313 Payne Ave	open
Ducky's Waterfront Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	280 Michigan St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	255 Meadow Dr	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop	Coffee	3819 Forest Park Way	open
Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	3821 Lockport Ave	open
Dwyers Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	65 Webster St	open
Family's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	452 Oliver St	open
Fattey Beer Co. Fattey Beer Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		908 Niagara Falls Blvd Ste 105	open
Ferlito Restaurants Inc. Ferlito Restaurants Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4072 Beach Ridge Rd	open
FIGMOR	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	110 Webster St	open
Forno e Gelato	Dessert	Italian · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	18 Webster St	open
Franco's Pizza Franco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	817 Payne Ave	open
Frankie Primo's +39 North	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	26 Webster St	open
Galassi's Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	452 Payne Ave	open
Galley	Restaurant (service type not stated)		207 Vandervoort St	open
Gary's End Zone Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 Lincoln Ave	open
Good Guys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1248 Ruie Rd	open
Granny's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	276 Oliver St	open
Herbal Traditions	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	7500 Shawnee Rd	open
Hideaway Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		399 Division St	open
J&l Boulevard Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	697 Erie Ave	open
Jamie's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1401 Nash Rd	open
Jimmy J's Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		126 Wheatfield St	open
Just Pizza & Wing Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	151 Division St	open
Just Say Cheesecake	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	106 Webster St	open
Kel's Kitchen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
KFC KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	866 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Klimek's Tavern	Bar		685 Oliver St	open
Lake Effect Sales & Marketing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		908 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Lil’ Bunny Bake Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6610 Shawnee Rd	open
Lin BBQ and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · BBQ	485 Oliver St	open
Little Black Heart Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Vegetarian	321 Oliver St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1030 Payne Ave	open
Living Hope Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	316 Thompson St	open
Lou's Restaurant Of Nt Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		73 Webster St	open
Lumber City Pizza Company Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1269 Erie Ave	open
LumberJack's Patio Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1000 River Rd	open
Mayors pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	452 Oliver St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	315 Meadow Dr	open
Mighty Taco Mighty Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	537 Division St	open
Muscoreil's Fine Desserts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	3960 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
New Day Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3046 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Olympia Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	3312 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
P J's Casual Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1269 Erie Ave	open
Pane's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	984 Payne Ave	open
Panxin Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	485 Oliver St	open
Partners Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		756 Oliver St	open
Pellicano's Marketplace	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3176 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Pendleton Creek Pub	Bar · Casual dining		4385 Tonawanda Creek Rd	open
Pizza Amore The Wood Fire Way	Catering	Pizza · Italian	1030 Payne Ave	open
Pizza Junction BBQ & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · BBQ · American	14 Forest Lake Dr	open
Platter's Chocolate Factory	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	908 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Platter's Chocolates	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	954 Oliver St	open
Primo Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 Main St	open
Prosper Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		72 Webster St	open
Ranchos Tres Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	58 Webster St	open
Remington Tavern and Seafood Exchange	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	184 Sweeney St	open
Revive Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1007 Payne Ave	open
Rico's Cafe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3264 Niagara Falls Blvd # 3	open
Roman Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	797 Payne Ave	open
Ryan's	Bar		1186 Oliver St	open
Scalise's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	158 Schenck St	open
Ship of Fools	Bar		512 River Rd	open
Smokin Eagles BBQ Team n Caterin Company	Bar	BBQ · American	7244 Witmer Rd	open
Spring Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	92 Webster St	open
Sprinkles Bakeshop & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	49 Tremont St	open
Steaksters	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3509 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Sticky Face BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	276 Oliver St	open
Submasters	Quick service		105 Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3509 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	866 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	966 Payne Ave	open
Sweet Consultations	Dessert	Dessert	908 Niagara Falls Blvd Ste 401	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		856 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	856 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	245 Meadow Dr	open
Tammy's Kitchen	Casual dining	American	690 Oliver St	open
Ted's Hot Dogs Ted's Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	333 Meadow Dr	open
The Boardroom	Coffee shop	Coffee	74 Webster St	open
The Clubhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3386 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
The Dockside Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		153 Sweeney St	open
The Fairways at Deerwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1818 Sweeney St	open
The Flavor Factory	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	31 Webster St	open
The IroNTon	Bar	American	126 Wheatfield St	open
The Junction Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1265 Erie Ave # North	open
The Original Pizza Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3571 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
The Potting Shed & Lounge	Bar		Sherwood Forest / Walck Rd	open
The Salad Bar Truck	Food truck · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	697 Erie Ave	open
The Shores Waterfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	2 Detroit St	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	748 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee	459 Division St	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	325 Meadow Dr	open
Village Inn Village Inn Restaurants	Bar · Casual dining		869 Oliver St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	886 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Webster's Bistro & Bar	Bar	French · American	102 Webster St	open
Westby's Pub & Eatery	Bar		6935 Ward Rd.	open
White Linen Tea House And Gifts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6610 Shawnee Rd	open
Witter's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		300 Oliver St	open
Woodcock Brothers Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		908 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Wurlitzer Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	908 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Yummy Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	92 Webster St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	301 Meadow Dr	open
The Grill On Erie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		889 Erie Ave	closed
Vito's Avenue Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	236 Zimmerman St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	77	64	—	—	—	13	SIC1987
1995	65	55	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	65	53	—	—	—	12	SIC1987
1997	73	57	—	—	—	16	SIC1987
1998	65	45	16	25	4	16	NAICS1997
1999	68	46	16	25	5	17	NAICS1997
2000	72	49	18	25	6	19	NAICS1997
2001	66	46	18	23	5	15	NAICS1997
2002	61	40	15	21	4	17	NAICS1997
2003	63	45	25	19	1	13	NAICS2002
2004	67	48	26	21	1	13	NAICS2002
2005	66	49	22	26	1	11	NAICS2002
2006	60	43	21	19	3	12	NAICS2002
2007	60	46	24	20	2	10	NAICS2002
2008	63	47	25	18	4	10	NAICS2007
2009	58	44	25	15	4	10	NAICS2007
2010	64	48	26	18	4	11	NAICS2007
2011	65	48	25	18	5	10	NAICS2007
2012	67	49	23	21	5	12	NAICS2012
2013	67	50	27	19	4	11	NAICS2012
2014	71	52	28	19	4	11	NAICS2012
2015	64	47	24	19	3	10	NAICS2012
2016	67	51	27	19	4	9	NAICS2012
2017	68	53	25	22	5	9	NAICS2017
2018	66	51	25	20	5	9	NAICS2017
2019	65	48	23	20	4	10	NAICS2017
2020	67	52	29	20	—	9	NAICS2017
2021	68	54	31	17	5	9	NAICS2017
2022	71	59	33	20	5	8	NAICS2022
2023	64	51	27	19	4	9	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14120. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14228	4.1 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.