BMIE Market 14228
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 25,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,757 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,626 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±478 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,857 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,121 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $74,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,824 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $274,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,963 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 15.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 58 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14228 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +48.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +123.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 65 (range 60–71) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14228. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 73.5 | 74 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.7 | 64 | 35% | +22.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 72.6 | 73 | 25% | +18.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 25,350 | 86 | 40% | +34.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,871 | 55 | 40% | +22.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,626 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 48.7 | 80 | 35% | +27.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.9 | 30 | 25% | +7.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 25,350 | 86 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,871 | 55 | 20% | +11.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.4 | 64 | 50% | +32.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 48.7 | 80 | 30% | +24.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (110)
By cuisine
American 18 · Coffee 15 · Italian 14 · Mexican 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Breakfast 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Filipino 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 68 · Quick service 17 · Café 11 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Fast casual 2 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2545 Niagara Falls Blvd. Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2545 Niagara Falls Blvd | open | |
| Always Grumpys Speakeasy | Casual dining · Bar | sunshine drive | open | |
| Ambur Eats | Café | 1576 Sweet Home Rd | open | |
| Amherst Turfside Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3820 Ridge Lea Rd # 2700 | open | |
| Anderson's Frozen Custard Anderson's Main St, Williamsville | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American | 2369 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Applebee's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1641 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2945 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Asian Center Mall | Quick service | Asian | 2055 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Au Bon Pain | Café | Coffee | Greiner Hall | open |
| Average Joe's | Bar | 2350 Sweet Home Rd | open | |
| Bari Italian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Italian · Coffee | 560 N French Rd | open |
| Black Angus Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2519 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Black Forest Adler | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 2447 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Blissful Bakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2055 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Blue Bull Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1300 Sweet Home Rd | open | |
| Blue Oyster Bar | Bar | open | ||
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 1925 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Bollywood Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 520 Lee Entrance Ste 104 | open |
| Boulevard Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 2487 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Boulevard Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2319 Niagara Falls Blvd | open | |
| Bravo Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3034 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Break'n Eggs Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1280 Sweet Home Rd | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar | 3035 Niagara Falls Blvd | open | |
| Capen Cafe | Café | Coffee | Capen Hall | open |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 1645 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Cheeburger Cheeburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1593 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Chick-Mex Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Halal / kosher | 520 Lee Rd | open |
| China Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1280 Sweet Home Rd Graphics | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3030 NIAGARA BLVD | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1643 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| CoreLife Eatery CoreLife Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1595 Niagara Falls Blvd Suite 100 | open |
| Crumbl - Amherst Crumbl | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1595 Niagara Falls Blvd Ste 600 | open |
| Dairy Queen | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 520 Lee Entrance | open |
| Dancing Chopsticks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 520 Lee Entrance Ste 326 | open | |
| Dancyn Inc Dba Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3840 E Robinson Rd PMB 360360 | open | |
| El Ranchito 3 Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2447 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Elmview Management Services Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 455 Commerce Dr Ste 5 | open | |
| Erin & Bills Automotive And Transport In | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 140 Irwin Rd | open | |
| Favorites Pizza & Wings Amherst | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3034 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1551 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Forno Napoli Pizza & Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1280 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Golden Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3870 E Robinson Rd #2001 | open |
| Harrial Music Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3840 E Robinson Rd PMB 448 | open | |
| Hawaiian BBQ Food Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| ICHA Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 1300 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| In & Out Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1280 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Insomnia Cookies Insomnia Cookies | Bakery · Dessert · Delivery-focused | Bakery · Dessert | 1300 Sweet Home Rd Ste 105 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 3030 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1595 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Jim's Steakout Jim's Steak and Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 2952 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1300 Sweet Home Rd Ste. 104 | open |
| Just Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2319 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Ke Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 520 Lee Entrance Ste 306 | open | |
| Knights Pot Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3050 Sweet Home Rd | open | |
| Kung Fu Tea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 520 Lee Entrance Ste 111 | open | |
| Larosa NY Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 520 Lee Rd | open |
| Lloyds Travelling Taco Truck | Food truck | Mexican | open | |
| Mama Rose's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Filipino | 3035 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Mango Mango Dessert Buffalo | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2055 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3120 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Mighty Taco Mighty Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3140 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Mighty Taco Mighty Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1300 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 1551 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Mpr Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 550 N French Rd | open |
| My Tomato Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3055 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| NEVERLAND CAFÉ | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 2071 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Niagara Falls Boulevard | Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Bakery | 1551 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1715 Niagara Falls Blvd Ste 300 | open |
| Orion Payment Solutions Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 275 Northpointe Pkwy | open | |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1551 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1715 niagara falls blvd | open |
| Papa’s Pizza Oven Amherst Papa’s Pizza Oven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 2675 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Pho 54 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1280 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Pho Saigon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1551 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Pistachio's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Italian | 350 Student Un | open |
| Poke Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 520 Lee Entrance | open |
| Rachels Mediterranean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 520 Lee Entrance | open |
| Shake Shack Shake Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 1531 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Sisters and Sons Pizzeria and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 435 Creekside Dr | open |
| Songbird’s Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2675 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1703 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1575 Niagara Falls Blvd # T-1010 | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 520 Lee Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 3015 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1703 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2055 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 520 Lee Entrance Ste 303 | open |
| Swiss Chalet Rotisserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1551 Niagara Falls Blvd | open | |
| Ted's Hot Dogs Ted's Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Fast casual | Hot dogs · Healthy / salads / bowls · American | 2351 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| The Audubon North | Casual dining · Bar | 3050 Sweet Home Rd | open | |
| The Cheesy Chick @ UB North | Food truck | Sandwiches · American | 65 Lee Rd | open |
| The Original Pancake House Original Pancake House of Western New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 2075 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Three Brothers Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | The Commons | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1950 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 1705 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Tim Hortons - Kelton Enterprises | Quick service | 501 John James Audubon Pkwy | open | |
| Tim Hortons Express | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3035 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 3030 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Tully's Good Times Tully's Good Times | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 1459 Niagara Falls Blvd Unit D | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3180 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Xi An Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 15 Willow Ridge Dr | open |
| Ying's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Burgers | 1460 N French Rd | open |
| Yotality | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1300 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Young Chow | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 520 Lee Entrance Ste 302 | open |
| Zebb's Deluxe Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2875 Niagara Falls Blvd | open |
| Zuppa | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 3040 Sweet Home Rd | open |
| Niagara Candy | Dessert | 1593 Niagara Falls Blvd | closed | |
| Pizza Junction | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3820 Ridge Lea Rd | closed |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3190 Niagara Falls Blvd | closed |
| The Grapevine Restaurant And Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2545 Niagara Falls Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 28 | 26 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 28 | 26 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 31 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 40 | 35 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 41 | 36 | 17 | 17 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 40 | 35 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 38 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 44 | 37 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 43 | 35 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 48 | 39 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 48 | 41 | 14 | 24 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 46 | 37 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 47 | 39 | 12 | 25 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 57 | 49 | 17 | 29 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 57 | 49 | 17 | 29 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 57 | 50 | 19 | 29 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 59 | 50 | 13 | 35 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 62 | 54 | 14 | 38 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 60 | 53 | 13 | 38 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 58 | 51 | 14 | 34 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 60 | 55 | 15 | 36 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 64 | 59 | 13 | 40 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 63 | 58 | 12 | 39 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |