BMIE Market 14903
Chemung County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,567 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,440 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $67,012 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $129,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,040 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 21.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14903 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 22.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +4.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +38.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 16–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14903. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 56.6 | 57 | 40% | +22.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.7 | 43 | 35% | +15.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 47.2 | 47 | 25% | +11.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,078 | 66 | 40% | +26.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 67,012 | 42 | 40% | +16.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,056 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.2 | 49 | 35% | +17.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 35.3 | 16 | 25% | +4.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,078 | 66 | 20% | +13.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 67,012 | 42 | 20% | +8.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.2 | 49 | 30% | +14.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 38.9 | 58 | 20% | +11.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
American 10 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Japanese 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 13 · Quick service 13 · Casual dining 8 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1894 Taphouse | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 228 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 877 Big Flats Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2487 Corning Rd | open |
| Area 14 Cafe and Roastery | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 258 E 14th St | open |
| BC Texas Hots Nostalgia page | Food truck | Burgers · Sandwiches | 228 Oakwood Ave Suite B | open |
| Bell's Country Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 258 E 14th St | open |
| Belle's Sweet Sinsations | Bakery | Bakery | 138 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Big Flats Chicken Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 830 County Road 64 | open | |
| Big Nerd Coffee Company | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 258 E 14th St | open |
| Big Top Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2354 Corning Rd | open |
| Cassada Poolside Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | open | ||
| Cayuga Restaurant Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2064 Lake Rd Ste 2 | open | |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 830 County Road 64 | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 830 County Route 64, Ste 19D | open |
| Curly's Chicken House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 2100 Lake Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 873 County Rd 64 | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 252 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 2501 Corning Rd | open |
| Fat Rickys Horseheads | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2483 Corning Rd | open | |
| Five Guys | Quick service | 950 County Road 64 Ste 110 | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 950 County Rt. 64 Suite 110 | open |
| Glass House Tavern | Bar | 125 Prescott Ave | open | |
| Grand Central Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1687 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Harry's Inn | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 308 E 14th St | open |
| Holy Grounds Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2081 Lake Rd | open |
| J&B's bulldog cafe & hots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Burgers · American | 258 E 14th St | open |
| Jae's Hot End | Bar | 101 Prescott Ave | open | |
| Juice Oasis | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 104 W 14th St | open |
| Kyoto Hibachi & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Seafood · Asian | 830 County Road 64 | open |
| Legends Bar & Grille Legends Bar & Grille- Elmira Heights | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 229 Oakwood Ave | open | |
| Ma's Cheesy Dreams And Other Things | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 228B Oakwood Ave | open |
| Mt. Fuji Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 830 County Road 64 | open |
| Old Heights Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 100 W 14th St | open | |
| Oryans | Bar · Casual dining | 159 Prescott Ave | open | |
| Panera Bread | Café | Coffee | 950 County Road 64 Ste 900 | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 950 County Road 64 | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 161 Prescott Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 950 County Rd 64 Suite 500 | open |
| Pick's Pub | Bar | 101 Prescott Ave | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 990 County Rd 64 Chemung | open |
| Ponderosa Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 2447 Corning Rd | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 830 County Road 64 | open |
| Seneca Beverage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2085 Lake Rd | open | |
| Spreng’s All American Sauces | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2025 Lake Rd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 865 Big Flats Rd | open |
| Taste of Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 2088 College Ave | open |
| TGI Friday's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 830 County Road 64 | open |
| The Sub Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 215 E 14th St | open |
| The Sugar Shack In The Heights | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 238 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Ukrainian Club | Bar | 156 Horseheads Blvd | open | |
| Upstate Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3028 Lake Rd | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 830 County Road 64 | open |
| A Blue Collar Cafe Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2048 College Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 39 | 30 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 32 | 25 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 32 | 25 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 26 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2022 |