BMIE Market 14904

Chemung County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,861 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±698 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,623 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,324 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,174 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,408 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$92,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14904
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14904. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.9	54	40%	+21.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.7	40	35%	+13.9
Market Momentum Score	42.6	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,861	77	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	53,174	19	40%	+7.6
Households (ACS)	6,623	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.7	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.0
Population (ACS)	14,861	77	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	53,174	19	20%	+3.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.9	62	50%	+31.2
10-year restaurant growth	-21.7	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	5.9	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 11 · Sandwiches 8 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 12 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AJ's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1141 Broadway St	open
Anne's Pancakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	114 S Main St	open
Bernie Murray's	Bar · Casual dining	American	500 S Main St	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	1141 Broadway St Ste 1	open
Champions Sports Grille	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1141 Broadway St Ste 8	open
Classic Cafe	Casual dining	American	805 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	753 Maple Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1141 Broadway St	open
Family Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1600 Cedar St	open
Happy Family Chinese Restaurant Happy Family Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	371 S Main St	open
Irish Club of Elmira, NY	Bar		471 Avenue B	open
Janette's Fine Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	601 Erie St	open
Jared & Yolanda Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 S Main St	open
Kahunas Bar	Bar		416 Luce St	open
Keefes Tavern	Bar		208 W Miller St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1149 Broadway	open
Kountry Krullers	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	415 S Walnut St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	502 Broadway Street	open
La Catrina Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	208 S Main St	open
Leroy's #120	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	627 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Mac's Tavern	Bar		1064 S Main St	open
Manzari's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	105 E Miller St	open
MarShell's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	122 S Main St	open
Master K's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	511 Broadway St	open
McClure's Meats and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	303 Broadway St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1600 Cedar St	open
McNiff Commons	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	401 Powell St	open
Mikemarkrestaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1141 Broadway St	open
Mp Cleary Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		350 S Main St	open
Oip	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	411 S Main St	open
Old Pioneer	Bar		208 S Main St	open
Paesano's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · American	600 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Pasquale's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	411 S Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	299 S Main St Chemung	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1151 Broadway Ave	open
Pudgies Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	350 S Main St	open
Ransom's Cluck & Smoke	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1550 Cedar St	open
Salsas Mexican restauran 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	805 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Southside Sub Shop	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	374 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1600 Cedar Street	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		370 South Main St.	open
The Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	398 Balsam St	open
The FRONT ROOM	Bar		S.Main St.	open
The Juice Collective, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	149 West Ave	open
The Lilly Pad	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	627 Pennsylvania Ave	open
The Sand Bar	Bar		600 S Main St	open
Dunner's Pub	Bar		416 Luce St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	17	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	27	17	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	30	20	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	25	15	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	29	17	9	7	1	12	NAICS1997
1999	28	16	7	8	1	11	NAICS1997
2000	27	15	6	6	3	11	NAICS1997
2001	27	15	5	7	3	11	NAICS1997
2002	26	14	5	9	—	12	NAICS1997
2003	31	17	8	9	—	14	NAICS2002
2004	29	17	9	8	—	12	NAICS2002
2005	33	21	10	10	1	12	NAICS2002
2006	31	22	8	13	1	8	NAICS2002
2007	28	19	10	9	—	9	NAICS2002
2008	24	15	6	9	—	9	NAICS2007
2009	23	16	6	9	1	7	NAICS2007
2010	24	17	6	10	1	6	NAICS2007
2011	22	13	4	8	1	8	NAICS2007
2012	25	17	6	10	1	7	NAICS2012
2013	29	23	9	12	2	6	NAICS2012
2014	30	24	9	13	2	5	NAICS2012
2015	28	22	8	12	2	5	NAICS2012
2016	23	19	9	8	2	4	NAICS2012
2017	28	21	9	10	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	25	17	8	8	—	7	NAICS2017
2019	23	16	7	8	—	7	NAICS2017
2020	24	17	8	8	—	6	NAICS2017
2021	23	17	6	10	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	23	17	5	11	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	24	18	6	11	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14904. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14905	2.2 mi	3	2022
14901	3.5 mi	28	2023
14894	3.9 mi	1	2016
14903	4.9 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.