BMIE Market 15003
Beaver County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 11,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±321 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,280 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,861 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,199 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $59,550 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $134,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15003 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 16 (range 14–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15003. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 55.7 | 56 | 40% | +22.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.3 | 52 | 35% | +18.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 60.6 | 61 | 25% | +15.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 11,387 | 73 | 40% | +29.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 59,550 | 29 | 40% | +11.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,280 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 51 | 35% | +17.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.1 | 56 | 25% | +14.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 11,387 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 59,550 | 29 | 20% | +5.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 23.1 | 79 | 50% | +39.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 51 | 30% | +15.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (56)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 19 · Casual dining 15 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1881 Ayk Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 447 Merchant St | open | |
| 4th Street Beer | Bar · Casual dining | 400 Maplewood Ave | open | |
| Alexander's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 720 Merchant St | open |
| Altered Genius Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 411 Merchant St | open | |
| Ambridge Italian Villa | Casual dining | American · Greek | 1710 Duss Ave | open |
| Ambridge Polish Falcons | Bar | 529 8th St | open | |
| Annie Lee's Southern Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1601 Duss Ave | open |
| Black Dog Wood Fired Pizza and Catering | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 916 Merchant St | open |
| Blue Canary CoffeeHouse | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2751 Duss Ave | open |
| Breakfast Shoppe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1507 Duss Ave | open |
| Bridgetown Taphouse | Bar | 939 Merchant St | open | |
| Brighton Hot Dog Shoppes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 413 Merchant St | open | |
| Cafe 501 | Coffee shop | Coffee | 501 Glenwood Ave | open |
| Casa de Ray | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Mexican | 1061 Oak Ave | open |
| Duss Ave Restaurant Inc | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar | Coffee | 1710 Duss Ave | open |
| Fermata Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 918 Merchant St | open | |
| Firehouse Lounge | Bar · Casual dining | 1301 Merchant St | open | |
| Five Birds Bakery & Coffee | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1400 Duss Ave | open |
| Fox's pizza Den | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1204 Merchant St | open |
| Frank's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 618 Duss Ave | open |
| Fred's Divot | Bar | 816 Merchant St | open | |
| Fritzy's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 603 Duss Ave | open | |
| Game Time Sports Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1101 Merchant St | open |
| Goodies Galore Custom Confections | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 522 Merchant St | open |
| Hark's Place | Bar | Chicken / wings | 70 Beaver St | open |
| Hollywood Cafe & Sports, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2917 Duss Ave | open | |
| Ice Cream Therapy | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 400 Merchant St | open |
| Jimmy T's Bar on Pine | Bar | 346 Pine St | open | |
| K & N Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 755 Merchant St | open |
| La Tienda | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 607 Merchant St | open |
| Lickety Split Cafe | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 530 Merchant St | open |
| Little Athens Express | Food truck | 499 Merchant St | open | |
| Lost | Bar | 816 Merchant St | open | |
| Lucky Pants Gaming & Coffee House | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2751 Duss Ave | open |
| Mad Anthony’s Bier Stube | Casual dining · Bar | German / Eastern European · European | 1239 Merchant St | open |
| Maple Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 463 Maplewood Ave | open |
| Merchant Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 922 Merchant St | open |
| Ni's Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 703 Merchant St | open |
| Nickles Bakery Distribution Center | Bakery | Bakery | 2301 Duss Ave | open |
| ODBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2316 Duss Ave | open |
| Penny's Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1507 Duss Ave | open | |
| PittsBurgers Food Truck & Catering | Food truck | 186 5th St | open | |
| Police Station Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1007 Merchant St | open |
| Popcorn-n-that | Other · Dessert | Dessert | 643 Merchant St | open |
| Rilee Rider Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 816 Merchant St | open | |
| Serenity | Bar | 303 14th St | open | |
| Stangl's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 572 Merchant St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 799 Merchant St | open |
| Talerico's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2300 Duss Ave | open |
| The Orbit Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1327 Merchant St | open |
| The Venue At Harmony Ridge | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1280 Breitenstein Rd | open |
| Tick Tock Bar & Cafe | Casual dining · Bar | 1101 Merchant St | open | |
| Tonino's | Bar | 939 Merchant St | open | |
| Tracks End | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2934 Duss Ave | open |
| Vale Comer | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 199 Park Rd Units 3 | open |
| Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 447 Merchant St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 31 | 18 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 29 | 16 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 29 | 18 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 30 | 19 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 7 | — | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 7 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | 8 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | 7 | NAICS2022 |