BMIE Market 15022

Washington County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,959 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±481 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,340 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,391 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$799 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$121,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15022
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15022. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.5	53	40%	+21.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.5	40	35%	+13.8
Market Momentum Score	29.2	29	25%	+7.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,959	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	58,387	27	40%	+10.8
Households (ACS)	4,318	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.1	56	25%	+14.1
Population (ACS)	9,959	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	58,387	27	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	-12.5	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Armando's Pizza Armando's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	538 Fallowfield Ave	open
Baker's Pub	Casual dining · Bar		464 Center Ave	open
Bella Dolci Cookies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		159 Walnut Ridge Rd	open
Bruno And Sons	Casual dining	American	501 McKean Ave	open
Celebrations by Janet Rands	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery	524 Fallowfield Ave	open
Cotromanos Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	411 Fallowfield Ave	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	22 PA-88	open
Diddlebugs Pizza & Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	1629 Rte 481	open
Dominic's of New York	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	147 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Double M's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	372 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Eclectic Cafe	Café · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1006 Fallowfield Ave	open
Ekernally Yours Gourmet Popcorn & Sweet Treats	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	119 State St	open
Evo's Sports Bar	Bar		601 McKean Ave	open
Four Points Brewing	Brewery / taproom		308 4th St	open
Fourth Street Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	308 4th St	open
Gene & Boots Candies Gene and Boots Candies	Dessert	Dessert	522 Fallowfield Ave	open
Kodiax Barn & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1001 Guttman Ave	open
Kozy Nook	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	222 State St	open
Maples	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	409 Old 71	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	318 Mc Kean Ave	open
Mexi Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	801 McKean Ave	open
Moze-E-On-In Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	771 Old 71	open
My Girls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	801 McKean Ave	open
Paolo's Pizza & Pastaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	411 Fallowfield Ave	open
Perked Up Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	530 McKean Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	300 McKean Ave	open
Rego's Restaurant & Hotel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 McKean Ave	open
River House Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	506 McKean Ave	open
Salty Sarge’s	Bar		140 Colvin Rd	open
Simply Baked Co	Bakery	Bakery	1000 McKean Ave	open
Stoney's Brewing Co. (office)	Brewery / taproom		100 3rd St	open
Surf On Turf Foodtruck	Quick service · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Coffee	517 McKean Ave	open
TCBY Charleroi Subway TCBY	Other · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	407 McKean Ave	open
The Charleroi Estate	Bar		835 Lincoln Ave	open
The Washington Winery Charleroi	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		532 McKean Ave	open
Unique China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	419 McKean Ave	open
Val’s Corner Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	47 Craven Dr	open
Charleroi Elks Lounge	Bar		301 Fallowfield Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	21	17	8	8	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	24	19	8	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	24	18	7	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	25	19	10	6	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	23	15	7	7	1	7	NAICS1997
2003	24	16	6	8	2	7	NAICS2002
2004	20	12	5	6	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	24	17	7	8	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	12	5	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	15	7	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	22	17	7	8	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	19	14	4	8	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	19	14	5	8	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	20	15	5	9	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	20	15	5	9	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	23	16	5	9	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	21	16	6	7	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	18	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	16	7	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15022. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15423	2.2 mi	2	2016
15366	3.0 mi	—
15062	3.5 mi	5	2023
15434	4.0 mi	1	2008
15466	4.2 mi	—
15427	4.3 mi	—
15314	4.4 mi	9	2023
15432	4.4 mi	1	2016
15072	4.5 mi	—
15331	4.6 mi	1	1997
15063	4.7 mi	10	2023
15412	4.9 mi	1	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.