BMIE Market 15314
Washington County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 3,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 3,788 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,796 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $59,356 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $713 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $166,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 17.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15314 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +80.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15314. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 44.3 | 44 | 40% | +17.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54.4 | 54 | 35% | +19.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 53.1 | 53 | 25% | +13.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 3,545 | 55 | 40% | +22.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 59,356 | 29 | 40% | +11.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,347 | 55 | 20% | +10.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 80 | 89 | 35% | +31.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 25.4 | 26 | 25% | +6.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 3,545 | 55 | 20% | +11.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 59,356 | 29 | 20% | +5.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 80 | 89 | 30% | +26.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (21)
By cuisine
American 9 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amish Store | Café | Coffee | 5 State Route 2044 | open |
| Boomtown Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 704 Main St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 150 Wilson Rd | open |
| Carlton Country Kitchen | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 17 McIlvaine Rd | open |
| Carlton Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 704 Main St | open |
| Carlton Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 704 Main St | open |
| Cinnabon Cinnabon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 205 Wilson Road | open |
| Crazy Horse | Casual dining · Bar | 28 S Main St | open | |
| Debbie's Delite | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 930 Main Street | open |
| Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 421 Main St | open |
| Golden Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 810 Main St | open |
| Hops n Honey | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 293 Johnston Rd | open | |
| Kings Family Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 206 Wilson Road | open |
| Lou Lou's Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 11 Almond Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 185 Wilson Rd | open |
| New Bentleyville Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 843 Main St | open | |
| Patrons of Creative Arts | Bar | 270 McIlvaine Rd | open | |
| Scoops on Main | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 930 Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 205 Wilson Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 190 Wilson Road | open |
| The Black Angus Inn | Bar | 907 Main St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 10 | 8 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 9 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 10 | 9 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 10 | 9 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 11 | 9 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 10 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 10 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 11 | 9 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |