BMIE Market 15037

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,417 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,865 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,579 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$165,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,459 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15037
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+26.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 19–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15037. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.5	67	40%	+26.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.9	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	70.9	71	25%	+17.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,417	71	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	77,579	59	40%	+23.5
Households (ACS)	4,331	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.2	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	10,417	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	77,579	59	20%	+11.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.7	82	50%	+40.9
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	5.6	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

American 12 · Pizza 7 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar 48	Bar		101 Simpson Howell Rd	open
Bar April	Bar		5143 Dorris Dr	open
Barton's Flowers & Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	311 S 2nd Ave	open
Bekahandco Llc Dba Becky's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		605 Scenery Dr	open
Cafe One Eleven	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	111 S 2nd Ave	open
Candelore's Dog House Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	605 Scenery Dr	open
Carriage Inn Restaurant and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	1601 Lovedale Rd	open
Central Coffee Shoppe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	475 Swiss Way	open
China Fortune	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	400 Swiss Way	open
Club 139	Bar	American	107 Market St	open
Creekside Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		620 Boston Hollow Rd	open
cuban restaurant in new jersey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	523 Elizabeth Ave	open
Daryl's Famous Nut Rolls	Bakery	Bakery	134 Broadlawn Dr	open
Dawn’s Goodies	Bakery	Bakery	209 Plum St	open
Droopys Bar And Grill Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		620 Boston Hollow Rd	open
Fellini's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	107 N 2nd Ave	open
Fellini's Pizzeria (Elizabeth, PA)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	107 N 2nd Ave	open
Firewhistle Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		107 N 2nd Ave	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	200 Swiss Way	open
Frosty Cone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	740 McKeesport Rd	open
Grand Central Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	601 Scenery Dr	open
Halfway To Heaven Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2510 Lincoln Blvd	open
Inferno Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	957 Hayden Blvd	open
Ingram Barge Company	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Atlantic Ave	open
Italian Village Pizza Italian Village Pizza Belle Vernon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	308 Scenery Dr	open
J&t Holdings Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Swiss Way	open
Lil Dog Moonshine	Winery / distillery / taproom		214 S 3rd Ave	open
Limitzllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Enterprise St	open
Liquid Vibes	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	920 13th St	open
LochMon Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	2510 Lincoln Blvd	open
Mama Pepino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	210 Plum St	open
Market Street Saloon	Bar		100 S 2nd Ave	open
Rock Run Inn: Restaurant & Banquets	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	800 Rock Run Rd	open
Rockwell's Red Lion Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	201 S 2nd Ave	open
Snowy’s Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	105 N 2nd Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	410 Scenery Dr	open
Sunset Room, Elizabeth, Pa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		94 Enterprise St	open
Sylvester & Tweetie's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	8800 Roberts Hollow Rd	open
The Barn & Barrel Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		504 Park Ave	open
The Juicy Mango	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	118 S 2nd Ave	open
The Red Caboose	Quick service · Casual dining	American	5146 Hayden Blvd	open
The Shops at Elizabeth	Restaurant (service type not stated)		207 Plum St	open
TheBar on 51	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2550 Hayden Blvd	open
Top O' The Morning Donut & Coffee Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	111 S 2nd Ave	open
Travelin' Mike's Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	426 Rock Run Rd	open
Wagner's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	550 McKeesport Rd	open
Walls, P. Inc. A/k/a P. Walls, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 Lovedale Rd	open
YoungYinz	Casual dining	American · Burgers	312 Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	20	18	9	6	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	22	20	10	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	20	18	10	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	9	3	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	10	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	9	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	10	4	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	18	15	11	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	10	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	20	15	10	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2008	20	15	10	4	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	21	16	12	3	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	23	17	12	4	1	5	NAICS2007
2011	18	14	10	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	17	14	8	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	14	8	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	9	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	19	14	9	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	20	15	9	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	18	14	8	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	19	15	8	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	21	16	8	4	4	4	NAICS2017
2020	22	17	8	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	23	18	8	7	3	4	NAICS2017
2022	23	17	9	6	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	24	19	10	6	3	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15037. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15088	2.5 mi	1	2016
15018	3.2 mi	1	2016
15083	3.5 mi	3	2016
15135	3.6 mi	1	2016
15028	3.8 mi	—
15038	3.9 mi	1	2016
15660	4.3 mi	1	2004
15025	4.5 mi	13	2023
15087	4.5 mi	—
15133	4.8 mi	3	2019
15047	4.8 mi	1	2001

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.