BMIE Market 15025

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,939 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±553 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,733 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,814 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,531 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,191 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$227,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,045 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15025
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-27.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-35.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15025. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.2	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.6	55	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	13.9	14	25%	+3.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,939	79	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	76,531	57	40%	+23.0
Households (ACS)	6,733	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.1	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.7	82	25%	+20.4
Population (ACS)	16,939	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	76,531	57	20%	+11.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-27.8	9	50%	+4.7
10-year restaurant growth	-7.1	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 8 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Al's Cone Zone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1211 PA-885	open
Backstreet Burgers & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	68 Maple Ave	open
Banana Peppers Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	840 Gill Hall Rd	open
Barellas Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1101 State Route 885	open
Beer-N-At	Bar		1450 Route 51	open
Blue Flame Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1360 Route 51	open
Buck's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	524 N State St Ste B	open
Ciccanti Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1206 PA-51	open
Clairton American Legion Post 75	Bar		Baker ave	open
Club 46	Casual dining · Bar		307 Division Ave	open
CNotes Bar and Resturant	Bar	American	524 State St	open
Deltom Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1101 State Route 885	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1607 Pa 51 North	open
Elliott's Back Street Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3006 N Lewis Run Rd	open
E’s Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	432 N State St	open
Fellinis Pizzeria Fellinis Pizzeria - White Oak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1229 PA-51	open
floreffe Hotel	Bar		1617 State St	open
Garletto's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	432 State St	open
Grown Folks Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		320 Waddell Ave	open
Interchange Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1560 Worthington Ave	open
Italian Eatery, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1356 Route 51 Ste 1	open
Joe's Pizza Joe's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	540 St Clair Ave	open
Mya Vending	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
New Golden Gate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	700 St Clair Ave	open
Rum Monkeys Pizza & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	1617 State St	open
S-Brewery Producent Browaru	Brewery / taproom		932 Beaver St	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		222 State Street	open
St Clair Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	415 St Clair Ave	open
Stage 1	Bar		428 N State St	open
Steel Grill 51	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1360 PA-51	open
Tap N'At	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		Laurel Ridge	open
Terrace Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1180 Desiderio Blvd	open
The Village Inn Village Inn Restaurants	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	823 Miller Ave	open
Therank Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1206 Route 51	open
Three Good Brothers Chicken and Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Chicken / wings	540 St Clair Ave	open
Turnaround Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2238 PA-51	open
Uno Pizzeria of Clairton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	601 Miller Ave	open
Yoli's \| Cucina & Crafthouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1101 PA-885	open
Yu's Olde Town Buffet	Buffet		591 Clairton Blvd.	open
Miller Ave Dairy Delight	Dessert	Dessert	653 Miller Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	20	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	26	19	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	26	19	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	28	21	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	29	16	8	8	—	8	NAICS1997
1999	27	15	8	7	—	8	NAICS1997
2000	28	16	9	6	1	8	NAICS1997
2001	24	12	9	3	—	8	NAICS1997
2002	27	17	8	7	2	7	NAICS1997
2003	25	15	7	6	2	7	NAICS2002
2004	29	18	7	9	2	8	NAICS2002
2005	26	19	7	10	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	20	13	6	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	24	17	7	9	1	4	NAICS2002
2008	26	18	7	9	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	24	17	6	9	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	25	16	5	9	2	5	NAICS2007
2011	24	16	6	9	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	23	16	7	7	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	21	14	8	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	23	15	8	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	22	13	8	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	27	16	7	7	2	4	NAICS2012
2017	26	17	8	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	27	18	7	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	23	14	7	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	23	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	13	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15025. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15088	2.3 mi	1	2016
15045	2.7 mi	6	2023
15038	3.3 mi	1	2016
15133	3.5 mi	3	2019
15123	3.6 mi	6	2016
15129	3.9 mi	12	2023
15034	4.0 mi	3	2023
15037	4.5 mi	19	2023
15236	4.5 mi	55	2023
15122	4.6 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.