BMIE Market 15045

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,829 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±233 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,483 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,255 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$47,803 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$849 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$82,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15045
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15045. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	40.1	40	40%	+16.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.7	41	35%	+14.3
Market Momentum Score	21.5	22	25%	+5.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,368	58	40%	+23.3
Median household income (ACS)	47,803	12	40%	+5.0
Households (ACS)	1,829	60	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.7	57	25%	+14.4
Population (ACS)	4,368	58	20%	+11.6
Median household income (ACS)	47,803	12	20%	+2.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-14.3	15	20%	+3.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Carol's Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		840 Monongahela Ave	open
China Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	528 Monongahela Ave	open
Chuggers	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		709 Monongahela Ave	open
Club 22	Bar		526 Monongahela Ave	open
Fuzzy's Market Fuzzy's Taco Shop T-Town	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	426 6th St	open
GLADS Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	614 Monongahela Ave	open
Glassport Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	627 Monongahela Ave	open
HomeTown Buffet	Buffet		539 Monongahela Ave	open
Hot Rod Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		626 Monongahela Ave	open
Mama Pepino's Pizza & Pub	Bar	Pizza	44 Monongahela Ave	open
Max n Odi's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	500 Monongahela Ave	open
Pici Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 Monongahela Ave	open
PNA 750 Glassport	Bar		542 Indiana Ave	open
Steve and Benny’s Chicken Shack	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1030 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	48 Monongahela Ave	open
Twister On Mon	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	800 Monongahela Ave	open
Uncommon Grounds Café	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	Corner of 5th Street & Ohio Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	11	6	4	1	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	11	6	5	—	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	11	6	5	—	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	12	7	4	2	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	12	7	4	2	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	11	7	4	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	3	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	4	1	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	3	1	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	11	7	4	1	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	4	—	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	4	—	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	10	7	4	—	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	10	6	4	—	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	9	5	4	—	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	7	4	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	4	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	4	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	7	4	3	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	7	4	3	—	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	4	—	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15045. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15133	1.0 mi	3	2019
15034	1.7 mi	3	2023
15132	2.5 mi	19	2023
15122	2.5 mi	31	2023
15025	2.7 mi	13	2023
15123	3.0 mi	6	2016
15110	3.8 mi	4	2023
15088	3.9 mi	1	2016
15135	4.3 mi	1	2016
15047	4.8 mi	1	2001
15131	4.8 mi	15	2023
15120	5.0 mi	44	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.