BMIE Market 15129

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,789 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,920 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,629 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$252,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15129
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15129. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.7	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	52.9	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,789	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	99,519	81	40%	+32.3
Households (ACS)	4,679	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.1	68	25%	+17.0
Population (ACS)	10,789	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	99,519	81	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · American 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 7 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Black Diamond	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	6347 Library Rd	open
BnD'z Burgerz & Dogz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4120 Brownsville Road	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3085 Sebolt Rd	open
Fundaze Back Bar	Bar		2550 Brownsville Rd	open
Gil's Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2700 Brownsville Rd	open
Honeymoon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6348 Library Rd	open
Hot Box Pizza and Wings	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6521 Library Rd	open
Hot Shots South Park Saloon	Bar		4099 Brownsville Rd	open
Italian Village Pizza Ridge Road	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2951 Ridge Rd	open
Just The Tip Cigars	Bar		2550 Brownsville Rd	open
My Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4113 Brownsville Rd	open
Park Social Bar	Bar		2525 Brownsville Rd	open
Peking House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2550 Brownsville Rd	open
Sincerley Yogurt	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4116 Brownsville Rd	open
South Park Club House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2200 Brownsville Rd	open
Taqueria el buen pastor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4112 Brownsville Rd	open
Tasty Creme of Library	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	6365 PA-88	open
Wu's Shaved Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1670 Brownsville Rd	open
Ya Ya's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6555 Library Rd #2	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	5	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	8	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	15	11	6	3	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	4	3	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	4	3	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	4	5	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	5	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	5	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15129. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15102	2.9 mi	50	2023
15332	3.7 mi	6	2023
15236	3.9 mi	55	2023
15367	3.9 mi	2	2016
15025	3.9 mi	13	2023
15038	4.7 mi	1	2016
15123	4.9 mi	6	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.