BMIE Market 15057

Washington County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,930 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,614 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$120,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,089 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$355,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15057
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.0	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.9	81	35%	+28.3
Market Momentum Score	65.7	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,583	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	120,821	91	40%	+36.2
Households (ACS)	6,141	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.4	90	25%	+22.6
Population (ACS)	16,583	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	120,821	91	20%	+18.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	-10	17	20%	+3.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 5 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bacon Jam	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	110 S McDonald St	open
Bambini's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	317 E Lincoln Ave	open
Belgium Club	Bar		345 Center Ave	open
Caustelot Creamery	Dessert · Food truck · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts	39 Oblock Ln	open
China Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	100 E Lincoln Ave	open
Gianni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8640 Noblestown Rd	open
Gianni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	116 S Mcdonald St	open
Harrington’s Bar & Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar		717 Robinson Hwy	open
Hart's Restaurant & Lounge	Bar	American	112 3rd St	open
Heritage Kitchen	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches · American		open
Hisui Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	3350 Millers Run Rd	open
Homestyle Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	3350 Millers Run Rd	open
Jay's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	114 E Lincoln Ave	open
Landmark Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 S Mcdonald St	open
Liz's Corner Kitchen	Casual dining	American	3772 Millers Run Rd	open
M.A.'s Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	303 W Lincoln Ave	open
Michael's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		341 E Lincoln Ave	open
North Star Hotel Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8155 Steubenville Pike	open
North Star Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · American	8155 Steubenville Pike	open
Passiflora Springs Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		315 Coleman Rd	open
Pizza Capri	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 S McDonald St	open
PK Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		320 E Lincoln Ave	open
Revolution Energy Services, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1217 Laurel Hill Rd	open
Shelbys Catering Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 E Lincoln Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	108 West Lincoln Avenue	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	12	6	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	14	8	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	13	6	3	3	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	12	5	3	2	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	10	4	2	2	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	11	4	2	2	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	14	7	2	3	2	6	NAICS1997
2003	16	10	2	5	3	5	NAICS2002
2004	15	10	3	5	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	12	9	3	4	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	3	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	12	7	3	3	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	14	8	3	4	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	12	8	2	5	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	3	4	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	13	9	3	4	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	14	10	4	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	12	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	10	6	2	3	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	10	5	1	3	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	10	5	2	2	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	12	6	—	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2018	12	7	3	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	12	7	3	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	11	7	3	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	3	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	13	8	—	4	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	13	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15057. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15361	1.9 mi	—
15082	2.4 mi	1	2016
15060	2.5 mi	2	2016
15321	3.9 mi	5	2023
15031	4.4 mi	1	2016
15350	4.9 mi	1	1994
15071	5.0 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.