BMIE Market 15071

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±977 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,064 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±401 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,956 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,402 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,532 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$275,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15071
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15071. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.5	78	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.0	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	21.5	22	25%	+5.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,663	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	102,328	82	40%	+33.0
Households (ACS)	5,064	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.5	90	25%	+22.5
Population (ACS)	12,663	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	102,328	82	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	50%	+8.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · Coffee 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelia's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	103 International Dr	open
Black Dog Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		7425 Steubenville Pike	open
Boro Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 Seminary Ave	open
Cafe Chocolade	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	7061 Steubenville Pike	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	50 Market Place Dr	open
Don's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7936 Steubenville Pike	open
El Marro Restaurant and Mariscos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	108 Seminary Ave	open
Fort Pitt Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		7780 Steubenville Pike	open
Gianni's Pizza - Hankey Farms/Oakdale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7780 Steubenville Pike	open
Goose Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7851 Steubenville Pike	open
Grist House Command Grist House	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		301 Sgt Messerschmidt Rd	open
Grist House Craft Brewery- Collier	Brewery / taproom		301 Sgt Messerschmidt Rd	open
Hart Oakdale Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5200 Noblestown Rd	open
Helicon Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		102 Union Ave	open
IDC Bread Shop	Bakery	Bakery	102 International Dr	open
Jo Jo's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	7194 Steubenville Pike	open
Kip's Tea & Coffee Co.	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	2 Union Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	300 Market Place Dr	open
Oakdale Inn	Casual dining · Bar		5200 Noblestown Rd	open
Pepperoncini's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		105 Seminary Ave	open
Police Station Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7235 Steubenville Pike	open
Roosters Road House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5021 Thoms Run Rd	open
Scoops & More	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7012 Steubenville Pike	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	150 Market Place Dr	open
Sunset Inn	Bar		7992 Steubenville Pike	open
The Bar on Hastings	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		228 Hastings Ave	open
The Diner The Diner	Casual dining	American	105 Clinton Ave	open
The Heights Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		136 Springhill Dr	open
The Ice Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	108 Seminary Ave	open
The Tonidale Pub	Bar		7001 Steubenville Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	11	5	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	13	7	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	15	8	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	16	11	5	3	3	5	NAICS1997
1999	15	10	5	3	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	16	11	5	3	3	5	NAICS1997
2001	16	10	5	4	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	18	12	5	6	1	6	NAICS1997
2003	15	9	3	5	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	17	11	3	6	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	18	12	4	6	2	5	NAICS2002
2006	19	12	3	6	3	6	NAICS2002
2007	17	11	5	5	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	13	8	4	3	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	14	9	5	3	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	15	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS2007
2011	14	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	16	11	4	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	12	7	3	3	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	14	9	4	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	13	7	3	3	1	5	NAICS2012
2016	14	9	3	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	16	9	—	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	15	8	—	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	15	9	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	17	8	3	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	14	7	—	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	13	7	—	5	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	13	7	—	5	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15071. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15275	2.6 mi	26	2023
15082	2.6 mi	1	2016
15142	4.1 mi	3	2017
15106	4.3 mi	34	2023
15064	4.7 mi	1	2016
15205	4.7 mi	83	2023
15031	4.8 mi	1	2016
15057	5.0 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.