BMIE Market 15066

Beaver County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±433 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,388 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,785 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,852 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$828 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$153,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,932 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15066
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+27.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+53.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+53.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+64.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15066. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.2	59	40%	+23.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.7	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	80.2	80	25%	+20.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,048	73	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	63,836	37	40%	+14.7
Households (ACS)	5,388	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	53.3	85	35%	+29.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.1	40	25%	+9.9
Population (ACS)	12,048	73	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	63,836	37	20%	+7.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	27.8	82	50%	+41.1
10-year restaurant growth	53.3	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	53.3	68	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 12 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 13 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
68’s Feed Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	562 PA-68	open
Al's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	400 9th St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 5th St	open
B'Poppin	Quick service		1090 3rd Ave	open
Back Door Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		128 Beaver St	open
Bakers Buck Hut	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	1103 PA-68	open
Blue Marble	Bar		907 3rd Ave	open
Bones Pub	Bar		1205 Allegheny St	open
Brady's Run Grille & Guest House	Casual dining · Bar	American	449 Constitution Blvd	open
Brighton Early Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	1211 5th St	open
Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe- Rochester, Vanport, Moon Twp.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	1128 3rd Ave	open
Brown Bear Bread Co	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	400 9th St	open
Bullseye Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		911 5th Ave	open
China Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	909 3rd Ave	open
CinnaRoasted	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1121 3rd Ave	open
Corner Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1201 5th St #1415	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		507 5th Street	open
Fifth Avenue Taphouse	Casual dining · Bar		631 5th Ave	open
Grand Valley Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	452 Constitution Blvd	open
Hallowed Grounds Coffee Roasterie	Coffee shop	Coffee	1106 3rd Ave	open
Hanks Frozen Custard	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	2210 3rd Ave	open
Jimmy K's Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar		911 11th Ave	open
Kopicko's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	301 8th St	open
Long Branch Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		574 Blockhouse Run Rd	open
Marbull's Restaurant and Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5000 Rochester Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	303 5th St	open
Marion Hill Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	4908 Rochester Rd	open
Oak Hill Vets	Bar		N 4th St	open
PA Wine & Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		816 3rd Ave	open
Palace Inn	Bar		562 Route 68	open
Penn Bistro Llc	Casual dining		615 Penn Ave	open
Petrucci Brothers Brewing	Brewery / taproom		911 5th Ave	open
Pizza Joes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	507 5th St	open
Pj's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	715 10th Ave	open
Quality Time & Carry Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	906 3rd Ave	open
Ree's Family Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		631 5th Ave	open
Rosalind Candy Castle Inc	Dessert	Dessert	1301 5th Ave	open
Salsa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	100 Wises Grove Rd	open
Shoo Shoo's Wooden Spoon Breakfast & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Breakfast	913 11th Ave	open
Slurp-N-Burst Boba Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1033 3rd Ave	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 5th Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1228 3rd Ave	open
The Promise Blend	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	119 Mercer Ave	open
The Salty Blonde	Winery / distillery / taproom		916 3rd Ave	open
The Tater Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 Wises Grove Rd	open
Top Of The Ninth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4410 Rochester Rd	open
Treasure Box Nutrition & Treats	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	904 3rd Ave	open
Twelve Loaves Soup Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1031 2nd Ave	open
Windy Hill Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	364 Mellon Rd	open
Wooley Bullys	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1317 Allegheny St	open
Young's Custard Stand & Grill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1973 Hartzel School Rd	open
Zooky's Sports Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		450 Constitution Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	14	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	18	10	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	20	12	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	23	13	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	25	14	8	4	2	11	NAICS1997
1999	22	13	7	4	2	9	NAICS1997
2000	22	13	5	6	2	8	NAICS1997
2001	17	9	5	3	1	7	NAICS1997
2002	25	14	6	7	1	9	NAICS1997
2003	26	15	7	6	2	9	NAICS2002
2004	25	14	9	3	2	10	NAICS2002
2005	22	12	7	3	2	9	NAICS2002
2006	23	13	7	3	3	9	NAICS2002
2007	25	13	8	4	1	10	NAICS2002
2008	27	15	9	6	—	10	NAICS2007
2009	23	13	9	4	—	8	NAICS2007
2010	22	14	10	4	—	7	NAICS2007
2011	23	14	9	4	1	7	NAICS2007
2012	27	17	11	5	1	8	NAICS2012
2013	26	15	9	5	1	9	NAICS2012
2014	30	18	9	8	1	10	NAICS2012
2015	26	17	7	9	1	8	NAICS2012
2016	25	16	7	8	1	8	NAICS2012
2017	25	16	8	7	—	8	NAICS2017
2018	27	18	8	9	—	8	NAICS2017
2019	27	17	8	8	—	8	NAICS2017
2020	26	18	8	9	—	7	NAICS2017
2021	29	21	10	10	—	6	NAICS2017
2022	28	20	9	10	—	7	NAICS2022
2023	31	23	10	10	3	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15066. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15074	2.7 mi	5	2023
15042	4.8 mi	4	2021

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.