BMIE Market 15074
Beaver County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,550 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,874 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,119 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $54,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,741 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $797 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $145,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,888 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 14.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15074 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -61.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 3 (range 1–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 7 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15074. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 49.7 | 50 | 40% | +19.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.9 | 43 | 35% | +15.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 7.4 | 7 | 25% | +1.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,550 | 68 | 40% | +27.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 54,063 | 20 | 40% | +8.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,949 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -37.5 | 9 | 35% | +3.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.9 | 89 | 25% | +22.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,550 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 54,063 | 20 | 20% | +4.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 7 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -28.6 | 9 | 50% | +4.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -37.5 | 9 | 30% | +2.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -66.7 | 1 | 20% | +0.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (37)
By cuisine
American 9 · Pizza 6 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 9 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 4 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1942 Tacos and Tequila | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 810 Ohio River Blvd | open |
| 2 Brothers Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 318 New York Ave | open |
| A&w Restaurant | Quick service | 750 Ohio River Blvd | open | |
| After the Fall Cider | Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom | 257 Zeigler Rd | open | |
| Asian Kitchen II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 229 Brighton Ave | open |
| Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe- Rochester, Vanport, Moon Twp. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American | 730 Ohio River Blvd | open |
| Buzzi's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 220 Brighton Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 449 Adams St 449 Adams St | open |
| DeAngelis Donuts | Bakery | Bakery | 216 Pleasant St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 102 West Madison Street | open |
| Double J | Bar | 161 Brighton Ave | open | |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 449 Adams St | open | |
| Hangry Mikes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 218 W Washington St | open |
| HarkinsMill Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 140 Harkins Mill Rd | open | |
| Huapanguero | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 810 Ohio River Blvd | open |
| JR's Beer Warehouse | Bar | 175 Stewart Ave | open | |
| KFC - Kentucky Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 102 W Madison St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 300 Brighton Ave | open |
| Long John Silver's Long John Silver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 750 Ohio River Blvd | open |
| My Hero's Sub Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 343 Brighton Ave | open |
| Nesmith Diner & Catering | Casual dining · Catering | American | 442 Adams St | open |
| O’Neil’s Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 406 Deer Ln | open | |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 423 Adams St | open |
| Penn Beaver Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 210 Brighton Ave | open |
| Philly Pretzel Factory Beaver County/Rochester Philly Pretzel Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 472 Adams St | open | |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 810 Ohio River Blvd | open |
| Rochester Smokehouse & BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 419 Adams St | open |
| Roots | Bar | 169 Brighton Ave | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 423 Adams St | open |
| Tabula Rasa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 318 New York Ave | open |
| The Fairport | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 318 New York Ave | open | |
| The Hilltop @ 15074 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 318 New York Ave | open | |
| The Point | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 124 Brighton Ave | open | |
| Uncle Chuck's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 149 Brighton Ave | open | |
| Violante's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 506 E Washington St | open |
| Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 228 Adams St | open |
| Woody's | Bar | American | 161 Brighton Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 13 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 14 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 14 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 15 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 8 | — | 5 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 14 | 7 | — | 5 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 15 | 8 | — | 5 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 9 | 5 | — | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 9 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 9 | 5 | — | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |