BMIE Market 16063
Butler County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±537 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,440 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,559 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,264 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $95,893 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $339,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 17.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16063 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +62.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +62.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 16 (range 14–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16063. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.2 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.0 | 72 | 35% | +25.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 81.2 | 81 | 25% | +20.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,256 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,893 | 78 | 40% | +31.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,440 | 69 | 20% | +13.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 62.5 | 87 | 35% | +30.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.8 | 50 | 25% | +12.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,256 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,893 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 62.5 | 93 | 50% | +46.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 62.5 | 87 | 30% | +26.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 44 | 20% | +8.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (39)
By cuisine
Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 9 · Dessert 8 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldinger's | Dessert | 519 Perry Hwy | open | |
| Con Yeager Spice Store Con Yeager Spice Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 101 N Main St | open | |
| Deli On Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 105 N Main St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 301 U.S. 19 | open |
| Equity Lending Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 307 W New Castle St | open | |
| Fisher's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 131 S Main St | open |
| Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 502 E Grandview Ave | open |
| Gas Light Associates Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 105 S Main St | open | |
| General Shu’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 210 S Main St | open |
| Gfy Restaurant Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 N Main St | open | |
| Goodfello's Pizza Pasta and Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 124 N Main St | open |
| Ice Box Creamery & Cafe | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 519 S Main St | open |
| Icebox Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 114 S Main St | open |
| Kaufman Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 105 S Main St | open |
| Kountry Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 111 S Main St | open |
| Kretschmann Farm | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 257 Zeigler Rd. | open | |
| Lj Ardvark Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 124 N Main St | open | |
| Lolev Zelienople | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 111 S Main St Ste 300 | open | |
| Nino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 109 N Main St | open |
| Northernness Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 111 E Spring St Ste c | open |
| Ohana Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | American | 466 Rochester Rd | open |
| Pappy's Family BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 142 N Main St | open |
| Peppino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 22089 Perry Hwy Ste 301 | open |
| Peppino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 22089 Perry Hwy | open |
| Piazza Talarico and Papa Joe's Wine Cellar | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 154 S Main St | open | |
| Spring & Main Café | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 109 N Main St | open |
| Spring Street Cafe | Café | Coffee | 100 E Spring St | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 22095 Perry Hwy, Suite 101 | open |
| The Meadows Original Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 20635 Route 19 | open |
| The Meadows Original Frozen Custard of Cranberry | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 22089 Perry Hwy | open |
| The Munching Moose | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 133 S Main St | open |
| The Strand Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | open | |
| Three B's Lounge | Bar | 309 S Main St | open | |
| Urban Vine | Bar | 118 N Main St | open | |
| Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 109 W New Castle St | open |
| Wicked Rabbit | Bar | 130 S Main St | open | |
| WP BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 29 Northgate Plz | open |
| Young's Custard Stand | Food truck · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | PA-68 | open |
| Young's Custard Stand | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 108 N Clay St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 9 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 12 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 14 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 13 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 13 | 11 | 9 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 15 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 14 | 10 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |