BMIE Market 15116
Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,461 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,071 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,967 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,427 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,103 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $94,352 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $263,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,097 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15116 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -5.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +77.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15116. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.6 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54.8 | 55 | 35% | +19.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 30.7 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,461 | 76 | 40% | +30.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,352 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,967 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5.9 | 21 | 35% | +7.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.1 | 68 | 25% | +17.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,461 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,352 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5.9 | 21 | 30% | +6.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -5.9 | 18 | 20% | +3.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · American 4 · Asian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Thai 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 7 · Café 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acrospire Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1702 Mt Royal Blvd | open | |
| Angelo's Pizzeria Shaler/glenshaw | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 1410 Mount Royal Blvd | open |
| Asian Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai · Chinese | 1724 William Flinn Hwy | open |
| B and Z Deli and Home Cooked Meals | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3392 Saxonburg Blvd | open |
| BeanThru Shaler | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1921 William Flynn Hwy | open |
| Buzz Worthy Pub Trivia | Bar | 1406 Mt Royal Blvd | open | |
| Churn | Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 3390 Saxonburg Blvd | open |
| Cole Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1718 Mount Royal Blvd | open | |
| Dive Bar & Grille Dive Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 3410 Saxonburg Rd | open | |
| Fox's Pizza Den | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3390 Saxonburg Blvd | open |
| Franks Pizza and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 1722 Mt Royal Blvd | open |
| Greek Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 3392 Saxonburg Blvd | open |
| Hartwood Restaurant & Whispers Pub | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3400 Harts Run Rd | open | |
| Hunan King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1700 Mt Royal Blvd | open |
| Ice Cream World | Dessert | Dessert | 3458 Harts Run Rd | open |
| Il Pizzaiolo Cucina Napoletana Il Pizzaiolo Cucina Napoletana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3405 Harts Run Rd | open |
| Jwe Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3392 Saxonburg Blvd Ste 350 | open | |
| Keggle Brewing | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | 2 N Rose Dr | open | |
| Mastic Trail Brewing | Brewery / taproom | 1044 Saxonburg Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 971 William Flynn Hwy | open |
| Middle Road Inn | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1822 Middle Rd | open |
| New Hartwood Associates Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3400 Harts Run Rd | open | |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1746 William Flynn Hwy | open |
| Pennsylvania Pure Distilleries | Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom | 1101 William Flynn Hwy # Old | open | |
| Pittsburgh coffee co. | Coffee shop · Food truck · Café | Coffee | 962 William Flinn Hwy | open |
| Sip Taproom | Bar | 3394 Saxonburg Blvd Ste 530 | open | |
| Sparkys Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1608 William Flynn Hwy | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 3390 Saxonburg Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1708 Mount Royal Blvd #9 | open |
| Swaagat Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 3392 Saxonburg Blvd Ste 340 | open |
| Thai Tamarind Glenshaw | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2909 Mt Royal Blvd | open |
| The Upper Crust Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3392 Saxonburg Blvd #350 | open |
| Three Brothers Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1718 Mt Royal Blvd | open |
| Three Little Birds | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3447 Harts Run Rd | open |
| Tú y Yo Café ® | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 3447 Harts Run Rd | open |
| Willees Tavern Ii 1822 Middle Roadinc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1822 Middle Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |