BMIE Market 15215

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,907 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±626 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,615 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,166 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,985 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$311,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15215
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15215. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.4	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.7	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	67.0	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,907	73	40%	+29.3
Median household income (ACS)	99,071	80	40%	+32.2
Households (ACS)	5,077	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.2	37	25%	+9.2
Population (ACS)	11,907	73	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	99,071	80	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · American 8 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 9 · Café 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Sisters 2 Sons	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1882 Main St	open
Aladdin's Eatery Aladdin's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	929 Freeport Rd	open
Aspinwall Beans 'N' Cream	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	16 Brilliant Ave	open
AVVA Modern Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	235 Commercial Ave	open
Bella Christie's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	213 Commercial Ave	open
Big Pat's	Bar · Casual dining		604 Main St	open
Big Shot Bob's House of Wings	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	918 Main St	open
Blue Sparrow	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		1025 Main St	open
Bona Terra Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		908 Main St	open
Botanical Vegan Cafe & Market	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Vegan · Coffee	209 Commercial Ave	open
Brother Tom's Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · American	808 Main St	open
Cafe On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	914 Main St	open
Caliente Pizza & Drafthouse Caliente Pizza & Drafthouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	225 Commercial Ave	open
Casa Del Sole Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	222 1st St	open
CC's Café	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2218 Main St	open
Cornerstone Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	301 Freeport Rd	open
Courtyard Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		108 19th St	open
Dancing Gnome Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1025 Main St	open
Dragon Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1714 Main St	open
Ephesus Mediterranean Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Pizza	50 Freeport Rd	open
Espresso Specialty Foods	Bakery	Bakery	906 Main St	open
Everyboby Loves Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		225 Commercial Ave	open
Farmer x Baker	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee	285 River Ave	open
Fox's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17 Brilliant Ave	open
Gino Bros Pizza Bar Gino Brothers - Harmar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	713 Main St	open
Gran Canal Caffe	Café	Coffee	1021 N Canal St	open
Guyasuta Lounge	Bar		1004 N Canal St	open
Hitchhiker Brewing Hitchhiker Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1500 S Canal St	open
Hyatt Regency Pittsbur	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Freeport Rd	open
Jenny's Lafayette Hotel	Bar		301 S Main St	open
KFC	Quick service		222 8th St	open
Krazy Karen's	Casual dining · Bar		1000 N Canal St	open
La Dorita Cooks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	2312 Main St	open
Love Katie Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		816 Main St	open
Luke & Mike's Frontporch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	235 Commercial Ave	open
Mindy’s Take & Bake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1100 N Canal St	open
Ozz Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1882 Main St	open
Pasquale's Pizzeria Pasquale's Pizzeria Of Penn Hills	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	309 Freeport Rd	open
Pepperoni Rolls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mexican	1008 N Canal St	open
Perk Works Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	815 Freeport Rd	open
Pittsburgh Pizza Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		918 Main St	open
Polska Laska	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	1100 N Canal St	open
Redhawk Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1019 N Canal St	open
Shipwreck's Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		123 Main St	open
Spice Affair	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	8 Brilliant Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	Center ave	open
Sugar Spell Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Vegetarian · Dessert	1014 N Canal St	open
Tavern In The Wall	Casual dining · Bar		211 Commercial Ave	open
The Brinery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Burgers · American	914 Main St	open
The GOOD Stuff	Food truck		618 Twin Pine Rd	open
The Lobby	Bar		100 Center Ave	open
Tom & Tuds Inc	Bar		353 Freeport Rd	open
Treat Down The Street	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	231 Commercial Ave	open
Vibrant Sunshine	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	103 Delafield Ave	open
Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	231 Commercial Ave 231	open
Willie's Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American	221 Commercial Ave	open
Yosteria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	914 Main St	open
Zen Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	209 Commercial Ave	open
Mio Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	50 Freeport Rd	closed
Pure Grub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		209 Commercial Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	21	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	33	24	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	31	21	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	28	20	13	6	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	28	21	12	7	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	33	26	17	8	1	5	NAICS1997
2001	26	17	8	8	1	7	NAICS1997
2002	25	17	12	5	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	26	20	14	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	27	18	12	6	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	25	19	13	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	26	14	9	4	1	8	NAICS2002
2007	29	18	10	7	1	8	NAICS2002
2008	26	16	9	7	—	8	NAICS2007
2009	25	17	7	10	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	26	17	7	10	—	7	NAICS2007
2011	23	16	7	9	—	6	NAICS2007
2012	27	19	9	9	1	6	NAICS2012
2013	24	16	7	7	2	6	NAICS2012
2014	24	18	8	8	2	5	NAICS2012
2015	24	17	7	8	2	6	NAICS2012
2016	25	21	6	12	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	28	22	6	11	5	6	NAICS2017
2018	28	22	7	11	4	6	NAICS2017
2019	29	23	6	13	4	6	NAICS2017
2020	29	21	6	12	3	7	NAICS2017
2021	32	24	6	14	4	6	NAICS2017
2022	26	20	5	11	4	5	NAICS2022
2023	30	24	7	10	7	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15215. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15201	2.0 mi	56	2023
15206	2.0 mi	76	2023
15223	2.0 mi	18	2023
15116	2.0 mi	16	2023
15224	2.9 mi	49	2023
15209	3.0 mi	14	2023
15238	3.1 mi	63	2023
15208	3.4 mi	8	2023
15232	3.5 mi	31	2023
15139	4.3 mi	12	2023
15147	4.3 mi	11	2023
15260	4.5 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.