BMIE Market 15228

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,236 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±879 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,389 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,595 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,771 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,194 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$383,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,709 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15228
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+41.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 35–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15228. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.6	85	40%	+33.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.9	68	35%	+23.8
Market Momentum Score	71.6	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,236	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	123,681	91	40%	+36.6
Households (ACS)	7,389	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.1	28	25%	+7.0
Population (ACS)	18,236	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	123,681	91	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.8	74	50%	+36.9
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	41.9	59	20%	+11.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (77)

By cuisine

Coffee 13 · American 10 · Pizza 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Italian 6 · Mexican 5 · Mediterranean 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Greek 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Bar 11 · Café 9 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
15f Ice Cream Shop LLC	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	230 Pennsylvania Blvd	open
Ackrud Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		186 Castle Shannon Blvd	open
Aladdin's Eatery Aladdin's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	630 Washington Rd	open
Aldo Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	675 Washington Rd	open
Amy's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	654 Washington Rd	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	339 Cochran Rd	open
Arancini House Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		615 Washington Rd	open
Arthur's Korner Pub	Bar		4 Bower Hill Rd	open
Betsy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	664 Washington Rd	open
Bistro 19	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	711 Washington Rd	open
Blue Horse Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	Washington Road	open
BnD'z Burgerz & Dogz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	663 Washington Road	open
Borelli Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1500 Washington Rd	open
Bravo Italian Kitchen Bravo Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean · European	1500 Washington Rd	open
Brgr	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1500 Washington Rd	open
Bull River Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	698 Washington Rd	open
Cafe Flore	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	698 Washington Rd	open
Chuck E. Cheese's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1025 Washington Rd	open
Crust! Café And Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	509 Painters Run Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1541 Washington Rd	open
East End Brewing East End Brewing Mount Lebanon Taproom	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	651 Washington Rd	open
Fork One Two	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Galleria Bravo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Gmn Holdings 3 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 Washington Rd	open
Godiva Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	1500 Washington Rd	open
Grab Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Thai · American	112 Abbeyville Rd	open
Grandpa Joe's Candy Shop Grandpa Joe's Candy Shop - Chillicothe, OH	Dessert	Dessert	695 Washington Rd	open
Hitchhiker Brewing Hitchhiker Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		190 Castle Shannon Blvd	open
Holy Cross Greek Food Festival	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	123 Gilkeson Rd	open
Houlihan's Houlihan's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1500 Washington Rd	open
Il Pizzaiolo Il Pizzaiolo Cucina Napoletana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	703 Washington Rd	open
Itamae Thai and Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	193 Castle Shannon Blvd	open
Jade Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	670 Washington Rd	open
Jernigan's	Bar		1500 Washington Rd	open
Kous Kous Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	665 Washington Rd	open
La Gourmandine Mt. Lebanon La Gourmandine Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	300 Cochran Rd	open
La Vera Brooklyn Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	656 Washington Rd	open
Lavora Resto Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Lavora Resto Cafe	open
Laziz Lebanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	615 Washington Rd	open
Lebo Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	632 Washington Rd	open
Little Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	636 Washington Rd	open
Luma Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	186 Castle Shannon Blvd	open
Mariah's Cookies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 Washington Rd	open
Mel's Petit Café	Café	Breakfast · French · Coffee	431 Cochran Rd	open
Mena's Italian Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		711 Washington Rd	open
Mineo's Pizza House Mineo's Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	713 Washington Rd	open
Mitchell's Fish Market Mitchell's Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1500 Washington Rd	open
Molly Brannigans	Restaurant (service type not stated)		660 Washington Rd	open
Mr. Beast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1500 Washington Rd	open
Mt. Lebanon Boozy Barrels	Bar		315 Lebanon Ave	open
Opa Gyra Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		665 Washington Rd	open
Orbis Capulus Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		675 Washington Rd	open
Pamela's P and G Diner Pamela's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	427 Washington Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	1500 Washington Road	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 Washington Rd	open
PAZZO Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1535 Washington Rd	open
Piccadilly Artisan Yogurt and Creamery	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	695 Washington Rd	open
PIYOLA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Asian · German / Eastern European	663 Washington Rd	open
Poco Loco Taco Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	698 Washington Rd	open
Primanti Bros. Primanti Bros.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	1539 Washington Rd	open
Raeanna South, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		630 Washington Rd	open
Saloon of Mt. Lebanon	Bar · Casual dining		622 Washington Rd	open
Sesame Inn Mt. Lebanon \| Mandarin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	704 Washington Rd	open
Simone's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	665 Washington Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1500 Washington Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	308 Cochran Rd	open
Thai Touch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	665 Washington Rd	open
The Baked Bean	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	380 Broadmoor Ave	open
The Simple Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	665 Washington Rd	open
The Yard The Yard Shadyside	Casual dining · Bar		1500 Washington Rd	open
Toastique Toastique	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	700 Washington Rd	open
Totopo Cocina & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	660 Washington Rd	open
Totopo Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	660 Washington Rd	open
Uptown Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	723 Washington Rd	open
Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1687 Washington Rd	open
Yum Yum Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	193 Castle Shannon Blvd	open
Pittsburgh Popcorn	Other · Dessert	Dessert	696 Washington Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	28	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	32	31	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	28	26	14	8	4	1	NAICS1997
1999	30	29	16	7	6	1	NAICS1997
2000	29	27	16	6	5	1	NAICS1997
2001	29	27	15	10	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	26	24	14	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	34	31	16	10	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	36	32	15	13	4	2	NAICS2002
2005	37	31	16	11	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	36	30	17	9	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	39	30	15	10	5	4	NAICS2002
2008	34	27	17	6	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	34	27	15	7	5	4	NAICS2007
2010	35	27	14	9	4	4	NAICS2007
2011	35	28	13	10	5	4	NAICS2007
2012	36	32	16	10	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	36	32	17	9	6	2	NAICS2012
2014	42	37	18	12	7	3	NAICS2012
2015	44	40	21	12	7	2	NAICS2012
2016	38	34	16	12	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	43	38	15	13	9	—	NAICS2017
2018	42	38	16	13	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	35	16	12	7	3	NAICS2017
2020	41	36	16	12	8	3	NAICS2017
2021	40	34	16	11	7	3	NAICS2017
2022	41	36	18	9	9	—	NAICS2022
2023	51	44	22	11	11	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15228. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15234	1.4 mi	29	2023
15243	1.7 mi	3	2023
15216	2.3 mi	45	2023
15226	2.3 mi	16	2023
15241	3.3 mi	38	2023
15220	3.3 mi	38	2023
15102	3.4 mi	50	2023
15227	3.9 mi	31	2023
15236	3.9 mi	55	2023
15210	4.0 mi	24	2023
15142	4.2 mi	3	2017
15106	4.3 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.