BMIE Market 15241

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,294 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±430 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,314 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,395 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,832 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$153,936 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,853 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,797 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$422,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15241
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-2.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+26.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	40 (range 33–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15241. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.3	88	40%	+35.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.9	54	35%	+18.9
Market Momentum Score	18.9	19	25%	+4.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,294	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	153,936	97	40%	+38.6
Households (ACS)	8,314	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	35%	+6.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.0	46	25%	+11.5
Population (ACS)	22,294	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	153,936	97	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	50%	+9.5
10-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	-2.6	19	20%	+3.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

American 24 · Dessert 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Dessert 11 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Food truck 3 · Other 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All American Bistro LLC \| Upper Sainte Clair PA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	1580 McLaughlin Run Rd	open
Apericena: A Wine Bar	Bar		100 Siena Dr	open
Ardolino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1141 Boyce Rd	open
Atarashi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1720 Washington Rd	open
Au Bon Pain	Café	Coffee	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service · Food truck	Bakery	301 S Hills Village	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	145 McMurray Rd	open
Bella's On Fort Couch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	91 Fort Couch Rd	open
Bj's Restaurant & Brewhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1819 Washington Rd	open
BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse	Casual dining · Bar	American · Pizza	1819 Washington Rd	open
Bob's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1870 Painters Run Rd	open
Bonefish Grill Bonefish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse · Seafood	1835 Washington Rd	open
Boston Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1736 Washington Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · American	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	301 South Hills Village	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1620 Washington Rd	open
China Max China Max	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	301 S Hills Village	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1720 Washington Rd	open
Cinnabon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 S Hills Village, 1060B	open
Condado Tacos Condado Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	301 S Hills Village Spc 2400	open
Duck Donuts Duck Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	100 Siena Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	145 McMurray Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2112 Clairmont Dr	open
Eat N Park	Casual dining	American	285 Fort Couch Rd	open
Einstein Bros Bagels	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Breakfast	1736 Washington Rd	open
El Paso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1778 N Highland Rd	open
Emma's Kafe & Deli	Other	Sandwiches	1580 McLaughlin Run Rd	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	100 Siena Drive	open
Flamers Burgers & Chicken	Quick service	Burgers · Chicken / wings	301 S Hills Village	open
Gather	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	164 Fort Couch Rd	open
Gloria Jean's Coffees	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	301 S Hills Vlg #378	open
Hello Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	100 Siena Dr	open
Home Plate Pizza Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1580 McLaughlin Run Rd	open
Honey Baked Ham The Honey Baked Ham Company	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · American	1630 Washington Rd	open
Houlihan's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1741 Washington Rd	open
John's Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1778 N Highland Rd	open
Kings Family Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 McMurray Road	open
Kona Ice Pittsburgh South Kona Ice	Dessert · Food truck		Services Available In:	open
Leonard's Living Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1778 N Highland Rd	open
Ltt Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 S Hills Vlg	open
Macy’s Cafe Macy's Nightgowns For Women	Dessert · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	100 S Hills Village	open
Maggie's Farm Distillery South Hills	Winery / distillery / taproom		1387 McLaughlin Run Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	82 Fort Couch Rd	open
Mrs. Fields	Dessert	Dessert	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Noodles and Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	301 S Hills Village	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	100 Siena Dr Suite 225	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	25 McMurray Rd	open
Owl's Nest Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	2652 Hidden Valley Rd	open
Palmyra Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Piada Italian Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1775 N Highland Rd Ste #3	open
Pittsburgh Popcorn	Other · Dessert	Dessert	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	201 S Hills Village	open
Pizza Parma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1790 N Highland Rd	open
Red Robin Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	301 S Hills Village Upper	open
Saga Steakhouse & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	301 South Hills Village Mall	open
Scoglio's USC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1580 McLaughlin Run Rd	open
Slate Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	24 Donati Rd	open
South Hills Burger Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 S Hills Vlg # 03	open
South Philly Steak & Fries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	301 S Hills Vlg	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Café	Coffee	201 S Hills Vlg	open
StonePeppers Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1614 Washington Rd	open
Sub Zero Nitrogen Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	100 Siena Dr Ste 230	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	301 Fort Couch Rd, Rm Fc09	open
Teavana	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	301 South Hills Village, #1035	open
The 404	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28 Donati Rd	open
The Pie Place	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	1775 N Highland Rd	open
The Porch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	120 Siena Dr	open
The Roxy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1900 Washington Rd	open
The Village TapHouse	Casual dining · Bar		1778 N Highland Rd	open
Toss Pizza and Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings · American	145 McMurray Rd	open
Trivia Dorks - Pittsburgh	Bar · Casual dining		2211 Lesnett Rd	open
Villa Fresh Italian Kitchen VRG Brands	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	301 S Hills Village	open
Waffles, Incaffeinated, Upper St. Clair	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	155 McMurray Rd	open
Wholesome International, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Fort Couch Rd Ste 150	open
Wild Rosemary Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean	1471 Bower Hill Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	33	30	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	31	27	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	33	31	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	31	30	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	34	31	12	16	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	35	32	13	16	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	38	35	12	20	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	41	36	15	18	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	40	39	17	19	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	42	39	15	21	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	46	42	17	18	7	2	NAICS2002
2005	41	37	15	14	8	1	NAICS2002
2006	38	35	16	14	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	38	33	13	15	5	3	NAICS2002
2008	41	36	16	15	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	39	35	15	15	5	2	NAICS2007
2010	43	37	14	18	5	2	NAICS2007
2011	42	36	16	16	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	40	36	17	15	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	48	42	20	17	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	42	36	17	17	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	40	35	15	18	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	40	32	14	16	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	46	42	17	21	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	47	42	17	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	43	38	14	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	40	35	15	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	44	37	17	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	49	44	19	21	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	38	15	20	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15241. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15102	2.5 mi	50	2023
15017	2.8 mi	59	2023
15055	2.8 mi	1	2004
15243	3.0 mi	3	2023
15228	3.3 mi	44	2023
15064	3.8 mi	1	2016
15142	4.1 mi	3	2017
15234	4.2 mi	29	2023
15031	4.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.